ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. mervyn

    mervyn

    no, it is overvalue and high concentration.

    Nvidia is worth 11.7% of the US GDP now. At the peak of the DotCom bubble, Cisco was worth 5.5% of the US GDP.
     
    #14081     Nov 13, 2024
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  2. Wide Tailz

    Wide Tailz

    Most of those holdingz are as insurance co. assets and they could be in need of cash for disaster payouts. Or he's preparing for THE CHAINSAW that Trump is about to bring to government waste!
     
    #14082     Nov 13, 2024
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  3. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Do you see signs of a crash in Semis?
     
    #14083     Nov 13, 2024
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  4. mervyn

    mervyn

    same as i see lot of obese people around, they are not in perfect shape as they ought to be.
     
    #14084     Nov 13, 2024
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  5. [​IMG]
     
    #14085     Nov 13, 2024
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  6. Picaso

    Picaso

    If I may chime in...

    I don't think it's an apples to apples comparison.

    Cisco PE ratio was about 200, Nvidia is in its 60's (high indeed).

    I don't think the chips market is going to slow down at all.

    Not saying Nvidia cannot go down 50%.

    But barring accounting shenanigans (SMCI, etc.), the best chip-related companies will continue to thrive in the next few years, imho.

    Pie-in-the-sky AI, meta-whatever, sexy humanoids, etc. is a different story. :D
     
    #14086     Nov 13, 2024
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  7. None of that matters! Algos will buy NVDA and QQQ at any price even way higher from here and they will still defend dips the same way when it's a 5T company. People have to learn to accept that. Stop thinking rationally in this market. You have to think like the market.
     
    #14087     Nov 13, 2024
  8. I swear, I would have figured PE would be extinct by now. I legit have no idea why anybody uses it or cares. The most overrated/ meaningless stat/ratio in the history of the market.
     
    #14088     Nov 13, 2024
  9. schizo

    schizo

    Unless Trump dies all of a sudden, nothing is gonna change the yen's current upward trajectory. The status quo calls for the retest of 160, but I can easily see 200.
     
    #14089     Nov 13, 2024
  10. Is it possible to change my nickname to ^-shape-CATEAR? @Baron?
     
    #14090     Nov 13, 2024
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