ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    In my view there was a fresh buy signal in this uptrend that occurred on the 15 minute chart at 12:15 Eastern.
     
    #1371     Jan 26, 2023
    formikatrading and Laissez Faire like this.
  2. Same here. As far as instruments like ES and NQ I have not been able to get much besides unreliable signals. With so much hedging, arbitrage, and other noise I feel like price action alone is a better fit for me. In the past, I have found value in using it for equities & options.
     
    #1372     Jan 26, 2023
    formikatrading and Relentless like this.
  3. I'm just looking at the day type and current behavior. Range bound and slow.

    If we get a 57.25 print from here I'm probably calling it a day as there's a good chance the next pop will fail around 59. We can get that late session melt-up, but probabilities aren't strong enough for me today. This is day trading only of course.

    50 % support and VWAP clustered here around 45/57 on ES. Would be nice if it holds and we don't go all the way to the LOD. Yes, I'm long...
     
    Last edited: Jan 26, 2023
    #1373     Jan 26, 2023
    MarkBrown likes this.
  4. Relentless

    Relentless

    [​IMG]
     
    #1374     Jan 26, 2023
    formikatrading likes this.
  5. Exactly. That's why I've always struggled a bit with the concept of volume analysis on index futures. That's not to say it's useless or anything like that. I do pay attention to volume, but I'm a bit cautious against reading too much into it.

    I do use a faster volume chart as my fast chart, though.
     
    #1375     Jan 26, 2023
    formikatrading likes this.
  6. mervyn

    mervyn

    Plan to add short at 4075.

    SPX is 5.57% up YTD, by this rate, are you betting 66% up this year?
     
    #1376     Jan 26, 2023
  7. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown

    dude life begins at 57.25 have sell orders setting at 4071 so gonna be real disappointing if it don't hit.
     
    #1377     Jan 26, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  8. NQ clearing the Open is a good sign.

    Might see that pop after all.
     
    #1378     Jan 26, 2023
  9. Done. Now, watch us rally... :)

    PS: Not the best entry, so it was a close call. 10 points is my maximum stop on ES, but I prefer to keep closer to 5.

    upload_2023-1-26_19-43-17.png
     
    #1379     Jan 26, 2023
  10. FWIW, average gain in the Dow from mid-term low to pre-election year high is just under 50%.

     
    #1380     Jan 26, 2023