IMHO, All the action should start dying down ahead of the long weekend. I would suggest treating the last hours as a holiday day. The algo knows this and starts taking profits a bit faster than normal. Now at 8 trades 5 wins net +83 ticks and just went short for trade #9 Update: Trade #9 out BE (2 ticks-comms)
Trade #10: Long 17. Dangerous place! Double top and pre holiday PM session, volume dropping off. Update: It should exit here on a new High Update 2: out at 25 for about 30 ticks. Trade #11: Long at 28. Here is where I think one gives it all back.... Update: PLEASE EXIT at HOD. This is like being stuck in the back seat of a car.
Trade #11 out BE Trade #12: Long at 33.5 out at 39. No trades after 12:50 MOC orders, I think.... Trade #13: Long at 43.5 Out at 56. Got super lucky on the MOC
Not really a candlestick pattern kind of guy but one of my friends just pointed out that it looks like the monthly candle closed as a Hanging Man.
EOD 13 trades 84% net about +190 ticks after comms. Too bad on sim, but I found a couple of bugs that were Sim versus Backtest. Next week will probably go live and work on the "FOMC" day code for a sim run mid sept.
And we wait until next month to do something? Monthly is a VERY long time to read anything into some arbitrarily calculated as a Candle.
Some folks don't trade intraday or even intraweek. Monthly price action isn't something to disregard, in my opinion.