ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. Relentless

    Relentless

    From what I've seen he takes small stops and re-enters most times.
    Very accurate too.
     
    #10791     Aug 12, 2024
    Laissez Faire and NoahA like this.
  2. Nope.

    Went flat on overnight longs on the Open around 73 ES giving back a lot of unrealized gains. Not sure where I stopped out on NQ, but it was above breakeven. Also giving back a lot of unrealized gains.

    I considered taking profits pre-market, but since I'm uncertain about how the gyrations will play out and honestly expected a rally on the Open, I decided to hold.

    Took a few stabs on the way down on small size until my final entry around 55 ES which I kept adding to on the way up.

    Took on new NQ longs in the same area. I don't normally trade NQ, but I believe strongly in a rally today, so I wanted to have a small position on the strongest one.

    It may not be the monster day I was hoping for, but it should be a green day at least.

    ES is struggling a bit here, so prepared to kill any longs around 78. Higher avg. price on ES since I added a bit more there.

    PS: If I went all-in on that morning drop, I could easily have been crushed. But since I'm dipping my toes in with small size my losses are small.

    upload_2024-8-12_16-54-5.png

    upload_2024-8-12_16-55-50.png
     
    #10792     Aug 12, 2024
  3. PPS: I was losing faith on that morning drop, but my data very strongly suggested a rally today. Also, I figured the 50 area was a potential pullback low. We overshot it quite a bit, so I did start having doubts...

    But I still had enough faith that it was worth a small size. I then only added as the market started moving my way.
     
    #10793     Aug 12, 2024
    NoahA likes this.
  4. ES 5400 coming up. Let's see if it means anything...
     
    #10794     Aug 12, 2024
    doubledoubledoublecup likes this.
  5. Good trade as always. It seems to work for you, but I just don't understand why you average up once the trade goes your way, your BE price becomes worst and more chance of taking heat. For me I want to take risk off when I get my 1st target instead of adding risk.
     
    #10795     Aug 12, 2024
  6. NoahA

    NoahA

    Thanks for the thorough explanation. Your posts though made it seem like you were still holding, and this is much different. You're of course allowed to post as much or as little as you want, but from what I gather, you just like to post the good stuff, and of course who doesn't. But in my opinion, this actually causes issues because now you're almost on the hook for having to do well. When you cherry pick the trades you show, you force yourself to only post the ones that are working, which we see. You only show when you are nicely ahead and your stop is well above your entry. But you also never show the other trades on the chart that got to this point, which today you say was a bunch of stabs at it on the way down.

    I think that by getting into the habit of only showing the good stuff, but never the bad stuff, this will put pressure on you. I kind of see it in the way you write, and also when you go quiet. When losses pile up, I think it makes you feel that you did something wrong, and hence are hiding. But all of this is just re-enforcing bad habits. There should be nothing wrong with showing losing trades. But when you don't want to show them, you put pressure on yourself to do well. I get the feeling from your writing that if a trade ends up being a loss, you feel that you did poorly and don't want to show your mistake. Its clearly not a mistake to have a losing trade, and taking a small loss is actually the win vs. holding it. Perhaps you don't want to show all the trades because there is some revenge trading going on there, but if this is what it takes to finally get into a good trade, then I'm not sure why all the secrecy.

    Anyway... just some random thoughts that don't have much meaning.
     
    #10796     Aug 12, 2024
  7. Well, if today didn't drop on the Open but continued, I would have ended up with a monster position and a stop very well in the money below the assumed LOD for a potential monster gain.

    Just see my current NQ position which also had adds after the initial rise.

    Adding to a position works very well when it's a strong move. Done properly, you keep your risk very small and your gains very big. Of course, your win rate will drop a bit, but I'm happy with that.

    For me, it's been a game changer at least.
     
    #10797     Aug 12, 2024
  8. well, anyone explain this move?
     
    #10798     Aug 12, 2024
  9. Appreciate the feedback. :)
     
    #10799     Aug 12, 2024
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  10. Well, thank goodness for trailing stops. Green day, but not what I was hoping for. :( I figured there's a nuke in the Middle East or something. I've no idea. Not sure I'm playing more today at this point.

    Waiting to see if it eases off a bit.
     
    #10800     Aug 12, 2024