ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. flash crash

    flash crash

    A lot of year left and three whole months until the election. I read an old Yale Hirsch piece on the election cycle and it doesn't seem that the market can't have a nice little shakeout on its way to new all time highs. Also the market is still well ahead of its 4th year average gain. The third year of the cycle historically has had the largest gains.

    Here is an interesting set of charts I found on stockcharts.com

    Presidential Cycles | Historical Chart Gallery | StockCharts.com
     
    #10621     Aug 8, 2024
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  2. Just got lucky is all. Could have gone the other way, too. Locking in 60 here. New opportunities on the Open.

    Too early to tell, but I see the potential of rallying all the way back to 5370 today.

    PS: I see my average is 16.50. I added a few and as such raised my average slightly.

    upload_2024-8-8_15-3-9.png
     
    #10622     Aug 8, 2024
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  3. flash crash

    flash crash

    Here are some NQ daily chart observations. Stop hunters, if they do exist, have been doing well.

    One of these days, one of these previous highs or previous lows will break, and the reversal won't come. That, I feel, will be the real tell.

    A daily close above 18500 would be a tell. A daily close below 17374 would be a tell.

    For now, it is a buy low, sell high market.
    NQ Stop Hunters.jpg
     
    #10623     Aug 8, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  4. we open way up there, feeling like a melt up day
     
    #10624     Aug 8, 2024
  5. I was getting chop up long at those 20 area, hopefully this run higher to make up those loss
     
    #10625     Aug 8, 2024
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  6. The 100 handle hashing back and forth is what is done to shake people out of their positions before a push. (Higher usually).

    the reason I say higher, it’s a positively sloped curve and with inflation the Spooz are engineered to go up over the long term. That’s why passive investing works.
     
    #10626     Aug 8, 2024
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  7. Picaso

    Picaso

    I beg to disagree: it's the easiest (and fastest) way to make money...

    The problem is that it's also the easiest (and fastest) way to lose money :D
     
    #10627     Aug 8, 2024
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  8. LOL. Exactly.
     
    #10628     Aug 8, 2024
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  9. Will trail myself out of the baby long at 70. Probably still looking to re-enter long. Let's see what the market does...

    A very different pace from yesterday's frantic back and forth on the Open which ultimately sold. Seems very controlled.

    Bullish?
     
    #10629     Aug 8, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  10. feeling like a a range day, since we below 70s, looking bearish at this moment, may be range day?
     
    #10630     Aug 8, 2024
    Picaso likes this.