ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. upload_2024-8-5_12-32-11.png

    Touched 3rd standard deviation. Will be a fun day! :D:sneaky:
     
    #10271     Aug 5, 2024
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  2. Family visit today, so will miss today's session. Might be a good thing. LOL. :)

    What I don't like with the current down move is that I don't fully understand the why of it. The corona crash and the inflation plunge was easily understood as it was happening. Right now, I just see a variety of factors where it's not exactly clear to me what's the driver behind it all.

    Any takers?
     
    #10272     Aug 5, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  3. Masters of the Universe took out loans to speculate using cheap Yen, that financing was used to create derivatives that relied on low financing costs. The raise by BOJ signaled that the financing costs may keep escalating and floating in nature like an ARM. So speculative funds that rely on low financing costs are being called back to close out those positions that are rate dependent.
     
    #10273     Aug 5, 2024
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  4. Makes sense. Still seems a bit excessive to me with NQ close to limit down. Maybe it's the perfect storm with a lot of factors lining up together.
     
    #10274     Aug 5, 2024
    Picaso and Spectre2007 like this.
  5. the worst ones are the ones that can't be explained. 'Explaining' relies on previous framework of behavior. So those are the scariest when correlations fall apart.
     
    #10275     Aug 5, 2024
    Laissez Faire and Picaso like this.
  6. c1rcle

    c1rcle

    Its hard to know whether to start closing down longer term investments too in this situation.
     
    #10276     Aug 5, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  7. I closed out last week, was looking to buy into bonds.
     
    #10277     Aug 5, 2024
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  8. VSP Trading = VERY SICK PSYCHOPATHS TRADING. LOL!
     
    #10278     Aug 5, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  9. c1rcle

    c1rcle

    At what point did you decide the downwards move was no longer just a "blip" before a rally to support Kamala?
     
    #10279     Aug 5, 2024
  10. when multiple levels break, those levels have a psychological framework, that framework shatters and creates a frozen /fear state. Too many levels broke.
     
    #10280     Aug 5, 2024
    c1rcle likes this.