ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. Picaso

    Picaso

    To me, personally, the market being 3% down for the week is nothing to write home about.

    But when I see a sea of red in leading stocks, many down more than 20-30-40% from recent hights, I worry there may be more to it than looks like.

    INTC down 30% [Edit: in a day] (45% from recent highs), new lows for the last decade, etc.
     
    #10041     Aug 2, 2024
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  2. schizo

    schizo

    Long 5334
    SL 10 pt
     
    #10042     Aug 2, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  3. schizo

    schizo

    Why not collect the premiums until then and then buy? :)
     
    #10043     Aug 2, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  4. Darc

    Darc

    Crude down 3.5%. NFP plummeted.

    I'm guessing that's cemented a September 18 Rate cut.
     
    #10044     Aug 2, 2024
  5. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    :D
     
    #10045     Aug 2, 2024
    Zwaen and Picaso like this.
  6. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Yeah it's tricky right now. There's a lot of what appear to be bargains. We've been here before B.

    I think for bargain hunting today, go with the value plays that have been knocked down even lower. That's my take at least.
     
    #10046     Aug 2, 2024
  7. Darc

    Darc

    Interest Rate traders now betting on a ,75% Rate cut in September.

    Houston we may have a problem!
     
    #10047     Aug 2, 2024
  8. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Best time to sell options is when the vix is high, but that's also Russian roulette. Sometimes.
     
    #10048     Aug 2, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  9. poopy

    poopy


    I am a vol-guy. I am long upside in OTM fly-structures. Shorting body vols of 36 in NDX, slightly asym-on strikes. Max risk is 4% downside. Pinning say 18900 is a 15-bagger on risk. Mostly in SNO. Fixed-strike vols will drop 700beeps if that touches.
     
    #10049     Aug 2, 2024
    TrailerParkTed and schizo like this.
  10. schizo

    schizo

    Well, @poopy is the options guru. I'm sure he'll figure it out.
     
    #10050     Aug 2, 2024