You're obviously an intelligent guy. You'll be fine. It seems like your approach works pretty often - you may just need to work on the psychological aspect (which many pro's I've heard from was about 80-90% of trading as a whole for them). My good trading friend that I interact with when I have time these days - he is focused primarily on the psych right now as well because he is very solid in his ability to read charts and apply his edge. Once he gets the psych down he will be well on his way. Always multiple legs to keep the table up - and I happen to agree with those that feel psych is the primary leg in trading.
Wish more people spoke regarding yesterday on possible scenarios. Was just a lot of silence and seemed like fear, instead of laying forth solid scenarios and levels for people to discuss and potentially help others. I am not picking on anyone and am just as guilty as others sometimes, just saying would be amazing to have people work together more.
LF is very good with that using his models. I scalp a point at a time typically and leave some runners on so not sure I could be a ton of help as far as future projections. My trading is all reactive as opposed to predictive.