Not to even mention the technical's are garbage as well, which is relevant because clearly for the Weekly chart to look this bad, shows larger players have been exiting positions consistently and for quite some time. Is someone willing to lay out the bull case? Like more than just thinking it's going to go up because the market is low and it's the US equity market. That's a given, but that's not really something to rely on or at least not good enough for me given all the current factors. Have not really heard anyone make a solid case for bull side.
ES is roughly 6 ATR below its daily mean based on a quarterly moving average. This represents a short term reversion to mean long setup for me, waiting for 1 of 3 triggers. That said, it seems likely the geopolitical situation in the next few weeks will get scary. Potentially real scary.
Seems to be finding a bid there at the June low. Still watching from my phone. Double bottoms work once in a while, right?
Yeah, no doubt I am aware of the means reversion setup and concept(not specifically yours necessarily, but have my own). There's just not much long integrity in the market though, so not a big fan of looking for any type of mean reversion setup to the long side, particularly with NQ and RTY June lows still outstanding. It's possible you have a more efficient way of capturing it though. I find focusing on losing/regaining levels is superior to any type of means reversion play, just speaking for myself obviously. If the weekly wasn't so bad, than I'd be more interested in looking for long side means reversion.
For what its worth, my mean reversion trades use vertical option spreads that I will initially partially hedge and adjust my hedging according to shorter term setups than the expected trade duration.