ES Journal - 2021/2022

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 15, 2020.

  1. Oil has been going up since April 2020. Where is the negative bias?

     
    #5391     Mar 2, 2022
    Builder17 likes this.
  2. newbie463

    newbie463

    @formikatrading,

    like I said, i could be wrong. I don't follow CL. Is it normally correlated with indices?
     
    #5392     Mar 2, 2022

  3. Yeah, that's very possible. Was thinking that might be the case as well. But my comment was all inclusive to that for the most part. It's true I didn't offer a macro factor like he requested, regarding that (if he was speaking of indices) however, point was you really don't need one. Markets have been bearish for a while and Daily chart while still slightly bullish bias has very weak momentum and is struggling just to reach minimal benchmarks. Not very inspiring yet to long side and that's why am focusing some on CL for setups as well.

    Also, he was a smart ass to me and didn't clarify. This will be my last comment regarding this, unless someone wants to be a smart ass again. I truly don't want to debate and argue, but if someone wants to be an ass, I'll glady match the energy.
     
    #5393     Mar 2, 2022
  4. c1rcle

    c1rcle

    My view is that if interest rates aren't rising that much, then anyone who was consuming a lot previously, will continue to do so, and that freely available credit will allow these consumers to continue to spend regardless of increases in oil prices.

    The people most impacted by the increase in oil prices could be the really poor people who weren't consuming a great deal previously anyway.

    Therefore unless there is a more significant interest rate hike, then spending will continue, but also inflation will continue. I don't think the fed is going to do enough to interest rates to stop inflation because it would cause too much of an impact to people on the edge of their borrowing capability. The market will continue to debate this, potentially causing sideways action for a long time.
     
    #5394     Mar 3, 2022
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  5. c1rcle

    c1rcle

    He did clearly say macro
     
    #5395     Mar 3, 2022
  6. interesting take. Thank u for the response
     
    #5396     Mar 3, 2022
  7. Spooz Top 2

    Spooz Top 2

    2 great set ups nice and early…
    9am OVB set up on the 15M & Hang man on 30M sell set up… double confirm .. good for 60+

    Great buy set up off the 50% good for 25+ …

    expecting sideways to down trading range going forward … great trading range anticipated both North and South!
     
    #5397     Mar 3, 2022
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  8. Spooz Top 2

    Spooz Top 2

    Nity , you need to be observing & listening vs talking / typing…. Wiseman knows what he’s doing… watch and absorb PA vs typing up a storm just to hear yourself speak!
    Consider it sound advice … Good Luck!
     
    #5398     Mar 3, 2022
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  9. Spooz Top 2

    Spooz Top 2

    Sold 72 … 8.50 handle stop
     
    #5399     Mar 3, 2022
  10. newbie463

    newbie463

    15min OVB; ema touch; and just below the 50pc on the day. (1215 bar)
     
    #5400     Mar 3, 2022
    Spooz Top 2 likes this.