ES Journal - 2021/2022

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 15, 2020.

  1. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    BBWidth down near the nearest point since RTH open:-

    ! BBWidth.png

    BTW didn't notice till after I did screengrab BB-3SD is applied above, not BB-2SD. But indicator down below is based on 2SD.
     
    #10271     Nov 14, 2022
  2. Unless dip buyers show up here at 4K / unchanged, this is shaping up to be a false breakout of last week's high.

    That low volume above last week's highs was an early warning.
     
    #10272     Nov 14, 2022
  3. FBO indeed. Let's see if it's a pullback or a reversal. Intraday it is for sure a reversal.
     
    #10273     Nov 14, 2022
  4. c1rcle

    c1rcle

    Almost to the minute!
     
    #10274     Nov 14, 2022
    Laissez Faire, Big AAPL and newbie463 like this.
  5. Random or not? You use those with consistency?
     
    #10275     Nov 14, 2022
  6. c1rcle

    c1rcle

    I only recently started paying more attention to the SPX so never really traded off of any of its levels before.

    I was already short the NQ and adding to the position the more overbought the ES and NQ was getting. I tend to have mixed opinions about my trades throughout, so I was just looking for different scenario ideas.

    One idea was that the SPX could run up to the 4100+ level downward trend-line and bounce down. Another idea is that it could drop from that 4008 - 0.618 level back down to the 3800 area before then going to the 4100+ trend- line. Most likely it will do something entirely different.

    The move could have been random, but it did bounce down precisely off the 0.618 level, plus I also feel like a large steep upward move is more retracing in nature and could therefore continue to the downside. We will have to see if this becomes a larger reversal from the 4008 level or just an area some people decided to sell from.

    upload_2022-11-14_22-18-22.png
     
    #10276     Nov 14, 2022
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  7. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    The ES is at 3990
    If I were ya'll, I'd get long.
    I feel a big up day coming.
    ...fwiw
     
    #10277     Nov 15, 2022
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  8. c1rcle

    c1rcle

    Is it happening again at 0.618? (ES)

    upload_2022-11-15_12-1-17.png
     
    #10278     Nov 15, 2022
    SunTrader likes this.
  9. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    If we drop at the bell, or sooner because WMT comes in weak, wait till about 10:20 EST and buy the dip. Pretty sure we close up on the day, but we may not have seen the bottom yet.
    It all depends on how the market reacts to WMT initially.
    3995 now.
     
    #10279     Nov 15, 2022
  10. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Another this morning, wish I had seen it at the time. Notice those two selling wicks to the immediate left.
    ! ES 61.8 pct.png
     
    #10280     Nov 15, 2022
    c1rcle and newbie463 like this.