Predicting with accuracy isn't always easy, but if you know the basic probabilities of your market, you can at least avoid betting on unlikely outcomes. It goes the other way also. Can a limit down happen now? Or on any of the prior large down days? Sure. It's just not very likely. Be prepared it can, but don't count on it.
The day weighs too heavily. Wish you luck on those targets, I'm flat, look for something after re-open.
Looks like SPX reached a temporary high. If one drew a line connecting Friday's top and today's top, one could see SPX is hitting the resistance now.