ES Journal - 2019/2020

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 19, 2018.

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  1. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    The area that is attempting support is yesterday's high. I find that intriguing. Plenty of time left today.
     
    #691     Jan 17, 2019
  2. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Excellent cash close there. We held on to a good bit of the prallen and the daily chart indicates that the uptrend is intact. The fact that the market was able to sustain this quickness and close strongly is further confirm of the uptrend. My thoughts continue to be towards the long side. One other item of note----2600 as a new short term floor is an idea that had a lot of credence added to it today.
     
    #692     Jan 17, 2019
  3. Specterx

    Specterx

    Agree in the short term however at some point in the coming weeks to few months we'll need to cycle down again to test for the higher low... at a minimum. 2500 seems about the most conservative target I can imagine for that, even if it doesn't develop into an extended bear, but at this point looks like we're going to hit 2700 first.
     
    #693     Jan 17, 2019
  4. With their history of running this up, and back down again, I'm not betting on anything here.

    They could take this down to 2610 again, or whatever. I don't trust this run yet.
     
    #694     Jan 17, 2019
  5. SPYgrain

    SPYgrain

    I'm liking NQ/ES spread for timing clues. nq es2019-01-17-TOS_CHARTS.png
     
    #695     Jan 17, 2019
  6. Just realized typo on cover...was 2626...just added back on at 2644...avg 2634.5
     
    #696     Jan 17, 2019
  7. tortoise

    tortoise

    I’m not sure I would expect anything below 2600.
     
    #697     Jan 17, 2019
  8. Target for add is 2621...target for rising wedge break when/if it finally breaks is 2523
     
    #698     Jan 18, 2019
  9. 4 week run on weekly chart IF we close green this week and RSI still not diverging.
     
    #699     Jan 18, 2019
  10. You're welcome. Please let us know if you discover anything worthwhile. I will take some time to properly backtest it myself.

    In my opinion, it can both be helpful and deceiving/confusing. Not every signal/divergence is as clear as on the chart I posted and not every divergence is useful. I don't think NQ always leads either.

    I think the correct approach would be to rely on ES if that's what you're trading - and receive additional confirmation/confidence if NQ agrees.

    Jack Hershey and his disciples claims that YM leads the ES.
     
    #700     Jan 18, 2019
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