Let's assume this is reality (sic) and the guy is roughly even on hit rate (16/31 by his own admission). 16 wins would reflect an average win over 50 ES points.
Stop is at entry, target is 10 points so I need a new high print, will be happy with 7 to 10 at this rate.
@volente_00 has ignored that 40 stop as well as his stop at 70 for the purpose of maintaining journal integrity. Polenta? Bueller? You're still short? Que hay de 70?