ES Journal - 2019/2020

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 19, 2018.

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  1. What does it smell like ? Vomit ? B/c it looks like ES is about to puke. 4 hr making an M formation right now. Don't want to be a long right now. Too much risk
     
    #29941     Oct 26, 2020
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  2. trdes

    trdes

    Likely going to be tough. If I take any longs I will very likely be taking profits quickly. NQ pretty much cleared the 11506.50 last week that was looking for(11511 is close enough) and we got a nice bounce off of it, but now we still have 11208.00 outstanding below us and that is likely to be next, given:

    #1 The larger charts still haven't shown any improvement from a dynamic standpoint on the readings.

    #2 Nor have they shown any improvement from a static standpoint either. As there is still a lot of risk for NQ downside as long as we are trading below 11780.00.


    So, nothing has changed for me I have the same view as last week. As mentioned friday though ES and NQ are holding up extremely well given these readings, I am guessing that has to do with the election coming up. So, I am going to stay flexible since it's pretty rare for retraces to take this long given the readings and could result in a pretty hefty short covering rally, if we fail to break down further.
     
    #29942     Oct 26, 2020
  3. i cant rule out a rally from here just yet
     
    #29943     Oct 26, 2020
  4. EON Kid

    EON Kid


    3400 does look like a good Bull Flag on the Daily, build out level

    * But note: market did go Limit down to Limit up on Trump / Hillary election day
     
    #29944     Oct 26, 2020
  5. trdes

    trdes



    Tough stuff. ES not doing a lot, but NQ looks like short cover rally to me. I took a quick long and caught some, but not really a lot.

    This is why I didn't aggressively short though.
     
    #29945     Oct 26, 2020
  6. trdes

    trdes

    Short cover rally than dump. Predictable, but really difficult to trade it at least for me.
     
    #29946     Oct 26, 2020
  7. trdes

    trdes

    Next up NQ 11208.00 has higher probability to be hit now at some point in the next couple of days, unfortunately have no short on. Short cover rally scared me, so I covered quickly on pull backs.
     
    #29947     Oct 26, 2020
  8. QTrader20

    QTrader20

    LOL...

    Untitled.png
     
    #29948     Oct 26, 2020
  9. wave

    wave

    The turnaround back up? Should be good for a 60pt run up.
     
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2020
    #29949     Oct 26, 2020
  10. EON Kid

    EON Kid

    Not as optimistic, but seeing a bounce to 3395 from 3375
     
    #29950     Oct 26, 2020
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