ES Journal - 2019/2020

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 19, 2018.

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  1. So, let's take a closer look at this allegedly healthy pullback. In my mind - there's a great deal of difference between a week that sells off softly from Monday through Friday versus one which drops the same amount or more in one or two days.

    It might very well be the difference between a healthy pullback and a change of direction.

    So, let's take a closer look.

    This week printed the Week High on Wednesday and the Week Low on Friday. Since 2005 - this alone have not happened very often. About 5.5 % out of all weeks.

    If we further require that the Week also made a new ATH - this have only happened 9 times since 2005.

    The last time this happened was at the very top in February. Week 8 ending the 21st.

    However, if we add in the sheer magnitude of this weekly drop and the filters above - this week is pretty much unparallelled over the last 15 years.

    Healthy pullback? I think not.

    What from here? Only God knows, but I don't think anyone should be surprised to see further continuation below from here.
     
    #28681     Sep 5, 2020
    Relentless, virtusa and syswizard like this.
  2. tsfx

    tsfx

    You might wanna rephrase that. That's just one side of the coin. It's more about the balance of real vs speculative money. Selling can take prices lower just as selling can take prices higher. Same logic with buying. And then you put those together. It's all a matter of "client (trader) quality" so to speak.
     
    #28682     Sep 6, 2020
  3. There is no difference. I called my broker and they confirmed it is all real money.
     
    #28683     Sep 6, 2020
  4. #28684     Sep 7, 2020
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  5. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    No obvious reason to be short here. Staying long.
     
    #28685     Sep 7, 2020
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  6. Cessna06P

    Cessna06P

    s 39.25 add 32.25
     
    Last edited: Sep 7, 2020
    #28686     Sep 7, 2020
  7. Cessna06P

    Cessna06P

    out of both at 34 +3 total
     
    #28687     Sep 7, 2020
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  8. But we should at the very least exceed last week's RTH Low in RTH this week.
     
    #28688     Sep 8, 2020
    syswizard likes this.
  9. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Likely get to to green from Friday's closing either today or tomorrow. I will be rolling long from Sep into Dec soon.
     
    #28689     Sep 8, 2020
  10. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    ATHs again very soon.
     
    #28690     Sep 8, 2020
    Gaslight Capital likes this.
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