Based on local volatility, that would be a 4sigma event. June 11th and July 23rd were 4 sigma events.
Inputted some data into my statistical model and there's no strong edge as far as I can see. No shit, Sherlock, but basically we either make new highs or lows from here. With the current bullish sentiment and NQ stronger, I'm betting higher. Maybe 3515. Last trading day of the month today as well.
End of month profit-taking/re-balancing portfolio? Fairly controlled move so far. Slightly surprised if we don't stop @ 85/87. But my read so far today have been s**t, so...