ES Journal - 2019/2020

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 19, 2018.

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  1. Noone123

    Noone123

    Stop kidding yourself. VIX hit over 80. That's depression levels fear.
     
    #17021     Mar 26, 2020
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  2. By the definition of "bear market", we are in a bear market. Although we're just a few percent away from a new bull market.
     
    #17022     Mar 26, 2020
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  3. imjohn

    imjohn

    March 8 2019
    November 1 2019
    S 1.png
    Head scratcher...
     
    #17023     Mar 26, 2020
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  4. There's no rational or fundamental reason for a rally from these levels considering the world is in shutdown.

    Business are already failing and many major businesses will likely fail moving forward. The world economy will contract this year and earnings will fall short of expectations.

    That said - I trade technically and don't impose/mix my fundamental views with my trading.

    Today was a big up day and the strong trend reversal prior to the Open in spite of bad economic numbers was a big tell.

    I still think we can and should have a huge swing down from this area and at least test the bottom.

     
    #17024     Mar 26, 2020
  5. SPYgrain

    SPYgrain

    since Feb 2018 if you see it as an expanding triangle a-b-c-d-e, that period was the d up leg (Mar '19)
    don't get me wrong I've had to unlearn some technical data b/c I became too rigid around what i thought I saw and missed a lot..d was a piling period (capitulation of demand) as we now see..
     
    #17025     Mar 26, 2020
  6. SPYgrain

    SPYgrain

    Agreed ! doesn't seem rational that we churn straight up in a V like recovery...but we have to listen/learn every day to see what unfolds
     
    #17026     Mar 26, 2020
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  7. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Here is a picture on a monthly chart of a bear market

    upload_2020-3-26_16-36-19.png
     
    #17027     Mar 26, 2020
  8. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    ---and here is another---

    upload_2020-3-26_16-37-29.png
     
    #17028     Mar 26, 2020
  9. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    This however, is not a picture of a bear market---

    upload_2020-3-26_16-38-43.png
     
    #17029     Mar 26, 2020
  10. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    ---This picture is not of a bear market either---

    upload_2020-3-26_16-44-36.png
     
    #17030     Mar 26, 2020
    schizo likes this.
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