ES Journal - 2019/2020

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 19, 2018.

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  1. Yeah, but still 300pts above the 200 day average, no reason for it, not a healthy level. In fact, just about the only major market that is on the average is the HSI and look at the problems Hongkong has, yet they're holding above the average. If you can't say this euphoria into stocks has created a bubble then what can you call it?
     
    #13261     Jan 24, 2020
  2. Overnight

    Overnight

    Don't worry, it will burst. Both my MNQ long and Vanguard health care fund are about to blow out. I was holding onto the HC fund because I had a sliver of hope that after 4 years of touching BE, the health care fund would have a sliver of hope of getting to a decent target range due to this new virus outbreak. Boy was I fucking wrong.

    People, never ever get into a health-care specific fund. You will waste your life. Go all tech and never look back.
     
    #13262     Jan 24, 2020
  3. schizo

    schizo

    (Where's that damn bullhorn, 1 2 3 testing) EVERYONE KNOWS THIS IS A BUBBLE :finger:

    But then again, throughout my entire career, I've NEVER ONCE seen a market act in a rational manner. It has always moved from one extreme (greed) to the other (fear).
     
    #13263     Jan 24, 2020
  4. NQurious

    NQurious

    Isn't the stock market nothing but one bubble after another? Just in recent memeory we had the internet bubble, then the housing bubble, and this latest and greatest, The Everything Bubble. At some point the bubble will burst, and then we do it all over again. Take me to the top and then throw me off ...

     
    #13264     Jan 24, 2020
  5. Interesting. Actual weekly change on ES: - 1,01%.

    I was losing faith in this call after Thursday's lack of follow through to the down, but lo and behold.

    These weekly calls started out merely as an experiment as I have the data to be able to make such predictions, but were uncertain if it's possible (or if I had the smarts to do so). But I'm starting to believe.

    Not sure I'll be posting them anymore from this point on, but I maintain my viewpoints in the quoted post.

    Overall, I remain bullish for the year and I do not think this is the top, but it could easily be the start of a multi-week correction (not a sell-off or doomsday scenario). Markets do correct. Does not mean it's the next financial crisis.

    Friday closed down -0,92%. The last time the market closed down 0,92% or more was the 2nd of December 2019 (-1,23 %). What followed was a large gap down the next day and we traded higher ever since.

    upload_2020-1-25_11-2-33.png
     
    #13265     Jan 25, 2020
  6. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    [​IMG]
     
    #13266     Jan 25, 2020
    Laissez Faire and zdave83 like this.
  7. In all seriousness - I do not think the market went down on Friday because of Corona. The virus, not the beer. ;)
     
    #13267     Jan 26, 2020
  8. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks


    I agree... It was buy the Jan 10 full moon, sell the Jan 24 new moon. Duh!! :p
     
    #13268     Jan 26, 2020
  9. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Rockets have hit our Embassy in Iraq.... reportedly.
    Oil at the open?
     
    Last edited: Jan 26, 2020
    #13269     Jan 26, 2020
  10. wave

    wave

    Cover your shorts here
     
    #13270     Jan 26, 2020
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