ES Journal - 2017/2018

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 23, 2016.

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  1. Agree. It's first time for me in a long time breaking the stop rule. I have rules for a reason.

    Good thing is not a big drawdown and can get back to business.
     
    #2121     May 23, 2017

  2. The reason you cut them short, the market is doing something unexpected or diverged from your model. When it diverges, it essentially can have major contrary slippage. The model your using may be similar to others, so your position fails other positions are failing, and it forces a cascade of exits. So can be excellent entry versus a exit.

    It's much harder to make back the slippage. Stop losses signify model failure. And when they get triggered have immense informational value.
     
    #2122     May 23, 2017
  3. Good insight and lesson learned. Not sure what I was thinking at the time. A stop is a stop and is there for a reason.

    Since I started posting on May 3rd....gross +14.5 pts, net +12.5...this last trade cost me 18.5 pts+comms...expensive tuition
     
    #2123     May 23, 2017
  4. volente_00

    volente_00


    Can you explain how a mental stop works ?

    Do you stay up 24 hours a day to monitor it ?
     
    #2124     May 23, 2017
    murray t turtle and JSSPMK like this.
  5. Profit target hit, net +7

    ES seems to have a quantitative moving average of behavior. Previous behavior implies future behavior, till an event breaks the behavior. The new behavior becomes factored into future price patterns. Only thing one can do is create model of existing behavior.
     
    Last edited: May 24, 2017
    #2125     May 24, 2017
    mastacoli71 likes this.
  6. FOMC meeting minutes 14:00 today, only event to work off of up to and post.
     
    #2126     May 24, 2017
  7. There is risk that 2392/88 is touched.

    Limit short 2398 TP 2393 SL 2403

    Edit: not filled yet,..

    Upper zone 2402

    Lower zone 2392
     
    Last edited: May 24, 2017
    #2127     May 24, 2017
  8. prior session levels
     
    #2128     May 24, 2017
  9. increasing target to 2405
     
    #2129     May 24, 2017
  10. The DOW boys got the memo and know what to do. ES is being a girl at the moment.
     
    #2130     May 24, 2017
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