ES Journal - 2016

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 24, 2015.

  1. Wait for price to test 200 day MA... Treat the daily as if you would the smaller time frames.
     
    #661     Feb 26, 2016
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  2. If you trying to get on board with shorts, let the market give you a premium. Otherwise the variance on daily will blow your short positions out unless you scale in. Look what price did on previous declines in relation to 50/200 MA...
     
    #662     Feb 26, 2016
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  3. Bloomberg has nice article on the shale companies implosion that is about to happen.. Till this time they have been pumping and operating. Indications are that it will lead to significant financial destruction of banks exposed to their bonds.
     
    #663     Feb 26, 2016
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  4. romik

    romik

    So expect a mother of all QEs.
     
    #664     Feb 26, 2016
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  5. Yep indications are that the FED has met with bank insiders to ask about exposure and not mark to market on the books.
     
    #665     Feb 26, 2016
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  6. A construct I'm looking at using game theory is, okay if the market goes up from now till FOMC meeting than FED statement won't be as dovish.

    If the market panics again leading to FOMC, than the FED will refrain from raising rates and will issue dovish statement.

    If open market operations are present than those operations will be pulled so that the FED can remain dovish and resume the day of the FOMC meeting.

    What this implies is market should get hit before the ECB/FOMC/ NFP release. Today's data came out surprisingly strong. Which pulls the FED away from dovish stance. So the FED needs the market to get hit till FOMC. If they issue a tight statement than it puts pressure on high yield bonds and catalyze a collapse.
     
    #666     Feb 26, 2016
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  7. romik

    romik

    Basically, what you are saying it's 50/50.
     
    #667     Feb 26, 2016
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  8. Trading around the 50 day MA will lead both sides to battle. I think the 50 day MA gets collared.
     
    #668     Feb 26, 2016
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  9. That gap at 1860 is still un filled. ;)
     
    #669     Feb 26, 2016
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  10. Also, G20 meetings this Sat . IMF already pumping this " The Group of 20 nations must plan now for a coordinated stimulus program to keep a slowing global economy from stalling, International Monetary Fund staff said in a report on Wednesday."

    More *free money!
     
    #670     Feb 26, 2016
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.