ES Journal - 2016

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 24, 2015.

  1. In recent weeks, I've seen more charts like this one...Simply vertical, "buying panic"...

    xle2_041816.jpg
     
    #1341     Apr 18, 2016
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  2. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    first signal, top appears to be in? but,does oil agree with its top?
     
    #1342     Apr 18, 2016
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  3. It's now or never I suppose...In the old days I'd say yes, this sort of panic buying is toppish, but these are "modern markets".

    SPX_daily_041816.jpg
     
    #1343     Apr 18, 2016
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  4. Meanwhile QQQ/Nasdaq all over the map with half the glam stocks surging the other half dropping like lead weight...
     
    #1344     Apr 18, 2016
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  5. When you have direction wrong, everything fails.

    You first saw megaphone, failing.

    Island reversal, failed.

    Need to keep an unbiased outlook, because in the end, everything can fail, but noticing that is a big part of the puzzle.

    Screenshot attached, the megaphone is doing opposite of what they are "supposed" to do, and that downtrend-line has been tested one too many times, more stop hunts ahead are in order, bears not having a good time.

    Good luck.
     
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    #1345     Apr 18, 2016
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  6. Expecting a little dip here as is happening. 80-82 area. Then a new smaller leg up into the close from there. Expecting a close at the top of the range. There's a small chance we'll make a new high (but not much greater than the current), but most likely it's in for the day.

    (just for fun)
     
    #1346     Apr 18, 2016
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  7. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    When the directional is wrong than one has to be flexible enough switch sides. Bias stands in the way of flexibility.
     
    #1347     Apr 18, 2016
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  8. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    yes, oil has been busy working on its top.
     
    #1348     Apr 18, 2016
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  9. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    There is definitely some decoupling going on with the oil and ES today.
     
    #1349     Apr 18, 2016
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  10. Have you ever done a study on ES/CL correlation?

    I've never used that relationship anyway, but I've spotted them decouple enough times that I don't find any value in it (for me, that is).
     
    #1350     Apr 18, 2016
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