ES Journal - 2013

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Trvlwanderer, Jan 3, 2013.

  1. nice long area here at 1695.50 I would think
     
    #6531     Sep 18, 2013
  2. Visaria

    Visaria


    out of everything at 94.

    I reckon it will collapse after FOMC.
     
    #6532     Sep 18, 2013
  3. Then why close your short?
     
    #6533     Sep 18, 2013
  4. Visaria

    Visaria

    Well it hit my target on those i shorted at 98.25, the rest i could have kept, but i could be wrong, market might smash up, FOMC days are a pure gamble.

    Still technically, really looks like a major top here tbh. A good 10-20% correction imho.

    Fundamentally, stocks are expensive, I see the US in a recession by the 1st quarter of 2014.

    A taper of $5 billion per month has been discounted by the market, but anything much more than that, say $20 billion would make stocks go into freefall.
     
    #6534     Sep 18, 2013
  5. I disagree but good luck to both of us.
     
    #6535     Sep 18, 2013
  6. Never understood the need to call market tops before tops actually form. Why must you be bearish before the price actually turns bearish ? For Pete's sake, not even a daily bar turn down.

    I thought you were a trend trader, on what timeframe, the 1 second?
     
    #6536     Sep 18, 2013
  7. EsKiller

    EsKiller

    couldn't have said it better
     
    #6537     Sep 18, 2013
  8. Sounds like to me vis is giving a fundamental case.
     
    #6538     Sep 18, 2013
  9. Visaria

    Visaria

    Technically, the spike on Monday (or maybe Sunday night) on es futures with the failure to break that high subsequently is, imo, a sign of the top.

    It's just this pesky (fundamental) FOMC meeting which is in the way.
     
    #6539     Sep 18, 2013
  10. In that case, let the fundamental and the technical become harmonious.
     
    #6540     Sep 18, 2013