that break could push to the mid 30's to fill the gap. the lower tl on the cash is being pinged with these current lows. will look like a bear flag break if we drop another 5-8 points in a hurry.
maybe your analysis is correct. The drop till now has been pretty severe with no pullbacks. Also the ADP numbers being so bad provide the fundamental reason for a 30-35 point correction.
short term ,monday nip was 56-6.50 which didnt provide any supp on the drop,see if it becomes resistance here