ES Journal - 2012

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Jan 1, 2012.

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  1. a price outlier is any price that is implied to be least transacted in the future. In the past statistical measures can be used to elucidate what were past price outliers.

    When a trendline breaks, the price where the line is broken is a outlier, since price move away from the point of break. Similar to support or resistance break. It can be any price that is rarely seen.

    Best price outliers are found during retracements against a trend on longer timeframes.

    The cost of a long straddle (premiums on both calls and puts at the same strike price, might be too high to pay given the underlying volatility. Instead, a algo is used to create a synthetic long straddle at price outlier.

    If the implied premium is high enough, you could do a short straddle, and go long a synthetic straddle.
     
    #15651     Dec 21, 2012
  2. tihfa

    tihfa

    thanks for clarification. though dont know much about options but think i have an idea. will do some more reading tomorrow. :) very generous of you to share the concept.... :cool:
     
    #15652     Dec 21, 2012
  3. volente_00

    volente_00

    He told me he went long 100 at 1392 and is looking for a 100+ on the trade.
     
    #15653     Dec 22, 2012
  4. Right, and the world ended yesterday and we r all in heaven.
     
    #15654     Dec 22, 2012
  5. and i bet he also took off his previous position at 1441.25
     
    #15655     Dec 23, 2012
  6. Daring

    Daring

    You are assuming he even had a position.
     
    #15656     Dec 23, 2012
  7. lol, good pt. i know volente is just joking around, it's all good, just having some fun during the holidays.

    merry Xmas to all.
     
    #15657     Dec 23, 2012
  8. another flash crash brewing? this just goes to show market does not care even if it is day before Xmas eve. sick.
     
    #15658     Dec 23, 2012
  9. sammybea

    sammybea

    can't imagine how many people bought in at the close on friday... I was hoping to sell on monday morning, but pointless now.
     
    #15659     Dec 23, 2012
  10. everyone thinking santa was coming to town
     
    #15660     Dec 23, 2012
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