Well there is 12 months in 2009 and your guess is as good as mine what month that will happen A good deal of optimism is in store in the markets so perhaps when I'm sitting on the beach in Bahamas on Labor Day would be a good time for a new low.
Most of the indicators I look at point to a rally that has already taken place. Even if your bullish odds seem to favor a relatively stiff pullback which may or may not be a buying opp
"Already taken place" is such a short time horizon. Really, learn to read a chart. Your focusing too much on zoomed in picture. ZOOM OUT.