Here's an example of using #chatGPT #promptengineering to define a plan. The #superprompt: "The persona of the Expert Psychologist, the professional psychologist with extensive knowledge and experience in mental health, remember to draw upon the following aspects of their character to provide empathetic support, active listening, and evidence-based therapeutic techniques, staying true to their role as a mental health professional. By interacting with the "Expert Psychologist" persona, users can improve their mental wellbeing, gain insight into personal issues, and develop coping strategies, ultimately fostering personal growth and resilience. Background ⟹ An impressive academic background with a Doctorate in Psychology and multiple certifications in various therapeutic techniques. Relationships ⟹ Strong professional relationships with colleagues, clients, and organizations in the mental health field. Skills & Abilities ⟹ Skilled in cognitive-behavioral therapy, psychodynamic therapy, and other evidence-based therapeutic approaches. Values & Beliefs ⟹ A deep commitment to the ethical practice of psychology and promoting mental health awareness. Emotional & Psychological Traits ⟹ Highly empathetic, insightful, and dedicated to their work, demonstrating a genuine desire to help others. Strengths ⟹ Strengths include exceptional listening skills, the ability to adapt to different clients and situations, and a vast knowledge of psychological theories and techniques. Goals & Aspirations ⟹ Continually expand their knowledge and skills, provide the best possible care to clients, and contribute to advancements in the field of psychology. Communication Style ⟹ Supportive, non-judgmental, and attentive, fostering a safe and open environment for clients to share their thoughts and feelings. Challenges & Conflicts ⟹ Navigating the complexities of client needs, managing the emotional weight of their work, and staying current with the latest research and developments in psychology. Growth & Development ⟹ Pursuing ongoing professional development and training to enhance their skills, knowledge, and effectiveness as a psychologist." Using the above prompt and a sequence of refinement here ChatGPT generated a table and the beginning of a checklist. It created it in markdown like I requested but this site doesn't render markdown and the reply is too large to capture, here's a screenshot snippet: You could further refine it by having the checklist of questions to access your emotional state; 1) Am I feeling restless? 2) Am I angry? 3) Am I emotional? 4) Am I feeling FOMO? etc. 5) Did I lose two trades already today? etc. Most likely you are engaging in trading to satisfy emotional needs and behavioral change will come difficult until you change your identity. "Atomic Habits" is good content on identity based behavioral change as well as the twitter timeline of Dr. Nicole Lepera. The odds are against you, however if you get up one more time then you get knocked down, while difficult, success is inevitable. Good luck and good trading to you.
Hello Scataphagos, lol, correct. What are you thoughts on a retail trader building an algo to gain an edge in the market?
Seems to me only the most simple could be programmed... like "crossing 50 day MA". And that's not much value.
Without going into great tactical detail I think a trader can start by having perhaps a “paradigm shift” as concerns trading on any time frame. Skill development, at it’s most fundamental level involves the same thing regardless of the context that the skill will be exercised in. I have given a lot of thought to the subject of skill development and in this post will attempt to share some of these ideas in a general way. I believe they are true in any endeavor we as humans undertake, including trading. And as concerns trading they are true in any time frame. So here goes: There are Four Important Concepts drawn from ideas in the religious world that can be useful. I know you may think or say “what does religion have to do with trading.” Well let us look at these four important concepts. They in fact can apply across many situations in life including trading. Orthodoxy Orthopraxy Psychology Discipline Orthodoxy has its roots in Greek and Latin, and its meaning is: Correct opinion, correct belief. Although there are many different opinions and beliefs on the subject of TRADING everyone thinks they have the correct version. Everyone seem to have their data to support their beliefs, it is out of this repertoire of beliefs, that they discover strategies and tactics that they formulate and use to carry out the task of trading the markets for a living. Orthopraxy is the correct practice. That is, correct behavior or action. Orthopraxy means "correct practice" or "correct behavior" and refers, in religions such as Christianity, to how a believer acts or performs, rather than how they believe. The same is true in trading. See, one can have correct orthodoxy and wrong orthopraxy. Also, sometimes our orthodoxy is directly opposite of our orthopraxy. Sometimes our orthodoxy is wrong but our orthopraxy is correct. All three cases can affect our performance in the task of trading the markets. To a degree we may state that every trader has his/her orthodoxy or beliefs about the markets. However our orthodoxy, about or what we think and believe, to be correct about the markets, must be tested and challenged on certain points that could be affecting our orthopraxia. If you want to see success of FOT (Frequency of Trades) with a high win rate it is imperative that your orthopraxy be one that facilitates the possibility of seeing such a phenomena. For instance, if you have the belief that overtrading is bad or that fewer trades are better than many trades then you will trade less and inevitably miss out on the multiple opportunities each trading session gives you. Most folks would disagree with me on this but I am of the belief that a trader can enter the market at ANY time and if he structures the trade correctly he has a good chance of making money. Thats right! Anytime in the session on any bar, on any TF! With one minute bars being the smallest for a manual scalper. I believe there is NO NOISE in the market hence I don’t have to be concerned about avoiding trading in “noise” since for me no such thing exists. I believe every tick (the smallest move) is for a reason hence I can therefore look to capitalize upon that movement. Nevertheless, because of the cost of commissions when trading the ES and in particular if one is trading MES it is probably best for a trader to structure trades that will render at least one point for a scalp. In my case I see scalping as 1 to 8 points and occasionally even more. The market all session long in the ES gives a trader a myriad of such trades. But, if one believes in noise they will not trade them. Another example: orthodoxy or what is generally believed to be true and correct is; to never scale into a losing position. I am not of that belief if anyone has read portions of my journal. Look Investors do it a lot buying more as price moves against them as they rely on fundamentals and believe they are getting “deal” by buying more at “cheaper” prices. I am not claiming to be a professional trader but my understanding is many such traders will add to a losing position. Nevertheless, we retail traders constantly hear the song “never average down”. We have the lyric engrained deeply hence our minds so our orthopraxy reflects that “seemly” good orthodoxy. Thus we fail to develop things of a strategic and tactical nature to take advantage of averaging down. So we stoically take our stop losses and comfort ourselves that we have done the “right” thing, correct? Or are we correct? That said, a trader cannot just average down any time on any whim. He must have strategic and tactical reasons for doing so. Some traders will agree to scaling into winning positions. That is they will build their position as price moves in their favor believing they are doing the right thing. Often it is the right thing if the context is right but if done in the wrong context and using the wrong tactic whipsawing can destroy one’s profits and actually magnify one’s losses when scaling up. Trading is a high performance-based activity. That is, if nobody activates it, there is no result. Some beginning traders find it extremely hard to “pull the trigger” and actually place a trade. The words high performance implies practice and a lot of it! That is orthopraxia...correct practice...IS necessary. Think of those gymnasts who flip around and make all sorts of twist and turns in front of an audience. Could they do so without practice and win gold? Highly unlikely. Or a world class violinist. Could he be become so without practice? To get good at any thing requires a lot practice. Bottom line it behooves us to find the right orthodoxy even if it requires adjusting our presently believed orthodoxy and having done so to then design orthopraxy that reflects our modified orthodoxy. We only get good through orthopraxy. In trading the best way to internalize something is by using a SIM. It takes a lot of practice to get good at something. Using a SIM can be compared to football practice by a football team. Then when the actual game day arrives they can execute what they have been practicing therefore putting odds in their favor unless of course the opposing team out executes them LOL. But practice serves to internalize the plays. They become second nature. A receiver just executes his route without having to “think” about it. Having to think and decide “on the “fly” produces stress. Imagine a football team that doesn’t believe in practice then gets in a game and “wings it”. They may get lucky and win but odds are against them. Some traders jump in the markets way before they have internalized their “modus operandi”. Their account soon disappears. A SIM can give the needed practice to internalize and build confidence and the ability to naturally execute without damaging ones account. Of course, there always comes the time to execute live without the SIM and that is where our emotions will test us. Our brain will try to disobey and trip us up. It just loves to mess with us. But that is it’s job! To think! We as traders have to learn to face our lack of orthopraxy. Seemingly correct orthodoxy (without questioning it) is the reason traders keep doing the same thing year after year and they keep getting the same results, year after year. Although they want to succeed they never experience consistent success because they are not yet “good enough.” They think they are right, therefore they are not willing to change their orthopraxy. They are in effect believing wrong and possibly practicing wrong. A brief look at the psychology of trading. Trading is a psychological challenge because cognitive dissonance occurs when reality does not agree with our beliefs and well thought out plans. This mental tension is called cognitive dissonance. One's mind struggles to resolve the disagreement and re-establish mental and emotional balance. Cognitive dissonance is uncomfortable and leads to mental stress. A lot of years enduring mental stress produces exhaustion, disappointment, and discouragement. We have to learn to train, calm, master, and correct our mind. Our mind constantly generates thoughts. Some true and some false. We have to find ways to productively deal with these thoughts. In the end, what counts most is not so much your beliefs (your orthodoxy) about an issue, but your orthopraxy in the real world (because the results are linked to your orthopraxy). However the flip side is our orthodoxy affects our orthopraxy. Why does orthopraxy trump orthodoxy? Simply because it is your orthopraxia is what will yield the results of your work. That said, your orthodoxy is also important, but mainly at the precise points where your orthopraxy is affecting your account in a negative way. What brings results is the commitment to orthopraxis. A trader in my opinion must be WILLING to erase from his orthodoxy and orthopraxy anything that prevents him from achieving his desired results in trading. I am convinced that anyone can be a trader. However, to achieve lasting results a trader has to change old destructive, useless, unproductive habits, and form new habits which he in turn performs or practices daily. Success is a function of cultivating and practicing daily orthopraxy (the correct practice). Your mind is a wonderful thing. However, your mind has to hear something 50 times for it to begin to register in the subconscious of your brain. And a recent study in the UK https://www.spring.org.uk/2023/01/form-a-habit.php has shown it takes more or less 66 times to form a habit. The mind, to internalize something to what I call the level of “second nature” it must hear it and perhaps see it 150 or more times. At this point it has likely registered in your sub-conscious area of your mind. So, study..study..study..repetition…repetition…repetition of ideas and concepts. But registering alone does not make you or I $$$$. We may know and understand the concepts like the back of our hand but that, doesn’t by itself, translate into money. After registering it, you have to put it into practice at least three times to begin forming an action model. After practicing a subject between seven and twelve times, a pattern is already beginning to be formed. After practicing a matter 21 times it is already in the beginning stages of becoming an established as a habit. Then according to the UK study at 66 times (more or less) of doing it becomes a habit. All trading, but in particular and especially in scalping, success comes from forming and practicing the correct habits. Hence again orthodoxy and orthopraxia. So, it is difficult to change a habit and it is difficult to introduce and form another new habit. Many times people give up before the process plays out that turns a concept or behavior into a second nature habit or belief. For this reason they do not achieve the desired results. As long as I have been trading I am always learning and understanding something better and I practice those ideas and concepts over and over on SIM to find out if they fit me and my style of trading. If so, I keep practicing until they become second nature. I see no point in throwing money at something that I don’t know if it will work for me. If I cannot make it work on a SIM then it will certainly not work for me in my live accounts. I strongly believe in taking an idea or concept, internalize it, followed by practice..practice..practice. For instance, take the idea of making 1 point a trade. It is not enough to practice on a SIM capturing four ticks in the ES. While SIMs are good for practicing we must understand that we have to actually capture 6 ticks to make 4 ticks. Price realistically has to trade through our entry and our PT by at least a tick for us to get filled. Most SIMs do not allow for that. So, if I am intent on making a point per trade in the ES I know I have to actually make 6 ticks. Then when I go live my experience will be likened to capturing 1 point on the SIM. It is relatively easy to capture 1 point on a SIM by only allowing a 4 tick movement but the discrepancy comes when I live trade the same idea with real money and cannot get filled without a 6 tick movement. It others words, I find I need a 6 tick movement in a real money account to capture 4 ticks. But on the SIM I only need a 4 tick move to capture 1 point. Therefore, I get bewildered why I can make it work on a SIM but not with a live money account. Bottom line, whatever I want to capture on a SIM as I practice I need to add 2 ticks to it, one for entry and one for exit to make it more realistic in terms of doing the same trade in a live money account. I believe that painful experiences in life happen for a reason. Mainly they teach us how inflexible to changes we ourselves are. Sometimes we don't realize our inflexibility until we have suffered a painful experience. The same is true in trading. Trading requires high performance skill sets. In part, it's a mind game just like any high-return effort. Like a professional athlete it requires focus and practice. Success requires that one focus their full attention on the present moment. If I can learn to focus on the present and execute then I have better odds of being successful at what I attempt. There are studies on mindfulness that prove that out. Discipline This post has become quite long and rambling but I would be remiss to not at least touch briefly upon discipline. I have come to see discipline as being: “Doing WHAT I need to do, WHEN I need to do it, HOW I need to do it, paying attention to DETAIL, and doing the above whether I FEEL like it or not.” Several things could be implied from this definition of discipline. But the overarching thing is that disciplined like any thing else worth achieving, must be PRACTICED over and over to obtain the skill to execute in a disciplined manner. So, even in discipline we go full circle back to orthodoxy (execution of the right and correct things), and orthopraxy (practicing discipline until it become second nature to us) I finish this post with one of my favorite concepts: “WE ALL CREATE OUR OWN REALITY IN THE MARKETS” That creation is a journey of learning, practicing, and executing. Have some fun along the way. It does not have to be boring. Rise to the challenge and transcend EVERY obstacle! Persistence is Key.
Without a few of these (proven strategy), all else is no more than artistic handwaving, lol. Keep it simple. and then you have a proven strategy? How well can you execute it? https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...ercent-entry-triggers-correctly-taken.343345/ Cha Ching Baby! Keep it simple.
The ideas of finding a good strategy and executing it well are certainly worthy goals however the processes to accomplish those things are well a bit more complicated. LOL But a good big picture. To reduce something down to something simple is not so easy. Point in case: why do most traders fail? Are they ignorant? Dumb? Have no clue? Have not been able to find a proven strategy and even if the have found one cannot seem to execute it well. Anybody could study just how Tom Brady plays football and how he executes. But so far not many if any have come close. He works extremely hard..smart…and does the practice. His skill set is highly developed. And it didn’t happen overnight.