Emini S&P 500 expectations.

Discussion in 'Index Futures' started by malaspina, Sep 29, 2018.

  1. DAY CHART.
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    #211     Dec 3, 2018
  2. This market is turning to the downside again. At least for the short term. Very fast move. A lot of selling and very few bull action. This downward move might continue.

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    #212     Dec 4, 2018
  3. ES keeps going down too FAST for me. Resistance of 2824 price level is indeed strong.

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    #213     Dec 4, 2018
  4. I'm thinking the current 2630-2815 range is going to hold for a bit. In my view, fundamentals did not support the pre-October highs, and the crash was an appropriate correction of the extended valuations. The market seemed to still be priced for tax-fueled earnings growth, even though common sensibility and analyst projections did not support that. The volatility since seems to be the market trying to get a handle on itself, but I feel that fair value is right around the upper part of that range (2750-2800), so I'd be buying if we see a retracement back down towards 2630.

    I wrote a blog post on this a few weeks ago that still broadly applies today (https://www.ganalysis.com/sp-500-some-perspective/). It includes some data-driven analytics that speak to these views in greater detail.
     
    #214     Dec 4, 2018
    malaspina likes this.
  5. I will read your blog. Thanks for this information. You are welcome anytime.
     
    #215     Dec 4, 2018
    Ganalytics likes this.
  6. upload_2018-12-4_21-56-3.png
     
    #216     Dec 4, 2018
    malaspina likes this.
  7. I am testing a short to feel the market, not sure if it will be triggered.
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    #217     Dec 5, 2018
  8. Only comment on today is that I think we will retrace a chunk of yesterday's down move, especially with the positive seasonality for today.
     
    #218     Dec 5, 2018
    malaspina likes this.
  9. It looks you are right, market is not moving.

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    #219     Dec 5, 2018
  10. RIP George H.W. Bush
     
    #220     Dec 5, 2018