Elite Trader's Gambler's Anonymous ETGA

Discussion in 'Journals' started by ElectricSavant, Apr 18, 2005.

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  1. jasonjm

    jasonjm

    I can't do pivots, i can just do a ladder

    look at some results i posted a few back, interesting
     
    #141     May 1, 2005
  2. jasonjm

    jasonjm

    I think buzz lightyear went to infinity (and beyond)
     
    #142     May 1, 2005
  3. Tripack and Jason, I'm rollng on the floor ROFL....
     
    #143     May 1, 2005
  4. But don't we need more pips to overcome the HUGe unrealized?


     
    #144     May 1, 2005
  5. :D
     
    #145     May 1, 2005
  6. Oldhands studies, seem to support Sympatico's layering technique with the 3 hour chart...hmmmm....

    LET ME TELL YOU SOMETHING FOLKS, THERE ARE MULTI-MILLIONAIRES MADE OUT OF FOREX


     
    #146     May 1, 2005
  7. jasonjm

    jasonjm

    electric here is the catch - think about this carefully

    the less the drawdown on the unrealized profits, the bigger your trade sizes can be? agreed?

    so its not the number of pips we take profit on, its the number of pips relative to the unrealized profit thats they key

    for example the massive one way GBP move from 1.55 to 1.90 in 6 months

    the following drawdowns on unrealized profit would occur

    20 pip - 308 000 pips
    30 pip - 205 910 pips
    40 pips - 154 860 pips
    100 pip - 63 000 pips



    but anyways seems bad looking at those numbers

    to recover the 63000 pip unrealized loss at 58 pips per day would take 1086 days!!!!

    OUCH thats 4 years of trading if the market doesnt turn around

    to make it worse, would have been short gbpusd, which means heavy interest charges too

    for this system to work it seems like there needs to be some sort of directional filter or input



     
    #147     May 1, 2005
  8. didn't you look at the spreadsheet? (see the variable trade ticket column- look at the formula)

    I am have trouble getting the acceleration right....

    Expect to float an unrealized drawdown between 30-40% to be at optimal...

    Michael B.



     
    #148     May 1, 2005
  9. Interesting from 40 to 30 pips (25%) drawdown increases only a little more than 25%. seems like the 30 pips area is around the sweet spot...(the pivot point minumum increment rule of 20 pips will give a near average of 30 pips increments while adjusting them to the natural flow, perhaps a 25 minimum will be even better) oh wait I am on the EUR/USD...

    Also.....

    Using the three hour chart or 10 pip increment while breachig support and resistance has not been discussed much...

    Michael B.

     
    #149     May 1, 2005
  10. It seems Sympatico has done all this work already...everything he has said is true.

    Michael B.
     
    #150     May 1, 2005
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