Election Night Thread

Discussion in 'Politics' started by ipatent, Nov 5, 2024.

  1. upload_2024-11-6_2-17-59.png
     
    #31     Nov 5, 2024
  2. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    #32     Nov 5, 2024
  3. traderob

    traderob

    New york times
    Last updated 9:30 p.m. E.T.

    Live Presidential Forecast

    Our election model estimates the outcome of the race in real time based on polling data, the votes reported so far and what we expect from remaining votes. Read how it works ›

    Chance of winning
    Leaning Trump

    69% chance of victory

    Electoral college estimate
    Trump 287

    225 to 341

    Harris 251

    197 to 313

    340320300280280300320340’20’16
    Popular vote estimate
    Harris +0.4

    Harris +7 to Trump +6
     
    #33     Nov 5, 2024
  4. ipatent

    ipatent

    The NYT meter now has Trump with a 68% chance of winning.
     
    #34     Nov 5, 2024
  5. #35     Nov 5, 2024
  6. Did Democrats really think Progressive and Muslim voters were playing around?



    upload_2024-11-6_2-45-41.png




    upload_2024-11-6_2-42-7.png

    upload_2024-11-6_2-43-8.png




    upload_2024-11-6_2-44-4.png

    upload_2024-11-6_2-44-24.png
     
    #36     Nov 5, 2024
  7. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    I don't know where you are getting your graphics from -- the results from these states this evening never showed Donald Trump above 60% at any point.

    The current results for Wisconsin and Michigan on AP are showing at 9:53pm EST:

    Wisconsin

    Harris: 49.8%
    Trump: 48.7%
    with 31% of the votes counted

    Michigan

    Harris: 51.8%
    Trump: 46.4%
    with 14% of the votes counted

    https://apnews.com/live/trump-harris-election-updates-11-5-2024
     
    #37     Nov 5, 2024
  8. ipatent

    ipatent

    I use the NYT (free on page 1) to keep track.
     
    #38     Nov 5, 2024
  9. #39     Nov 5, 2024
  10. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Betting markets don't yield EC votes. The actual results of polls in these states do.
     
    #40     Nov 5, 2024