I don't think that matters much.They ran Purdue and Kelly with the same outcome.Its more about The Dem candidate imo.
Kari Lake purposely took herself and compadres to what she said was a liberal district because she expected the red districts would be those places having "problems". Sure enough, the red machines were having all kind of problems.
Then why do states have laws about preserving election evidence for almost two years? It's because law makers recognize that each election is potentially a crime scene. Elections can be stolen. In the case of Arizona, you could potentially have the person who ran the election (Sec of State) becoming Gov, in which case what are the chances this election would ever be properly investigated? I'm saying elections are especially ripe for criminal activity when you look at how little they are actually policed, and how little time there is to investigate before the illegitimate candidate must be seated in office. Once seated, it becomes what's called "political will", making it exponentially harder to prove anything, or have any action taken if/when proved. Political will is like a stone wall with laws for thee, on the other side, but not laws for me on my side.
The increase in crime is a top issue there. Many people remember the early 90's and are afraid of going back to that era.
Trump suppressed the vote in that election. Kelly or Perdue would have won easily last night. Walker is completely incompetent. Kemp probably would have won by more if some people didn't show up just to vote against Walker.
PredictIt still has the Democrat as the favorite in NV. Not sure what kind of vote is missing there, but Laxalt is slightly ahead.
States need to get their shit together. You would think that everybody should have over 99% of the vote counted at this point. NV is only 80% in and AZ only 69%.
It more has to do with the state Supreme Court throwing out the dem redistricting map and installing a less favorable one for democrats.
Zeldin is at 47% in NY. Redistricting had no effect on that. Obviously NY is mostly blue overall, because of the concentration of Democratic voters in 4 boroughs in NYC though (all, but SI). Outside of that you have small urban pockets of blue like Buffalo, Albany, Rochester, and Syracuse. They also should be winning districts like NY-17 which is very affluent, highly educated, has a large Jewish population, and is a suburb of NYC. The crime message is probably working there.