Election 2024 Foreplay

gwb-trading · Oct 16, 2024

insider trading said:
American Muslims helped Biden win in 2020. Will they abandon him now?

Arab and Muslim communities say they’ll ‘punish’ Biden even if it means Democrats lose in November.

In 2020, Joe Biden won the state of Michigan by a much closer margin over then-incumbent President Donald Trump than the polls and pundits had predicted: just more than 150,000 votes.

Two partly overlapping sets of voters helped tip Biden over the line in Michigan and other vital swing states, including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin: Muslim Americans and Arab Americans.

Now, four years later, as Biden and Trump head towards a rematch in November, the current Democratic Party incumbent faces the mounting prospects of a backlash from those very same voters, many of whom are seeking to bleed his re-election bid.

Growing outrage over Washington’s support for Israel in its unprecedented bombardment of Gaza is many prompting Arab-American and Muslim voters to declare that they intend to stay away from the polls. As the US continues military funding for Tel Aviv, the number of Palestinians killed in the war on Gaza has risen to nearly 30,000 since October 7, many of them children.

In Michigan, where early primaries begin this week, one-time Biden voters have promised to send his administration a strong message by sabotaging the elections, even as the president’s aides have scrambled to meet and mend broken ties with community leaders.

Which states are Arab-American voting strongholds?

There are approximately 3.5 million Arab Americans according to the Arab American Institute, making up around 1 percent of the US population. About 65 percent are Christians, approximately 30 percent are Muslim, and a small number practise Judaism.

While these groups tend to vote based on varying interests, “there’s almost unanimous consensus on the need for a Gaza ceasefire,” said Youssef Chouhoud, a race and religion researcher with Virginia’s Christopher Newmark University (CNU).

Dearborn, Michigan, is home to the largest Arab-American community in the US — more than 40 percent of the city’s population. Georgia, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Virginia are also home to large Arab communities.

At least three of those states – Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania — are going to be battleground swing states in November, where the difference in support for Democrats and Republicans is marginal, and small shifts could swing outcomes.

Arab votes made the difference in the tight 2020 race. Biden pushed ahead of Trump by 154,000 votes in Michigan – credited majorly to the Arab-American community, which accounted for 5 percent of the vote. Michigan is home to an estimated 240,000 Arab Americans.

In Georgia, Biden won by fewer than 12,000 votes. The state is home to more than 57,000 Arab Americans.

However, soaring discontent in those communities means for the first time in 26 years, the Democratic Party is no longer a choice for many Arab voters, whether Christian or Muslim. Biden’s approval ratings among American Arabs went from 59 percent in 2020 to 17 percent in 2023.
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Here is today's hint. Biden is not running for President in 2024. This article from February 27th is meaningless.

insider trading · Oct 16, 2024

gwb-trading said:
Here is today's hint. Biden is not running for President in 2024. This article from February 27th is meaningless.
More...

You are smarter than that Sir.

It should be clear by now that voters see no difference between Biden and Harris.

UsualName · Oct 16, 2024

Nice coverage of the early vote and mail ins.

TreeFrogTrader · Oct 17, 2024

Cardinal Dolan gets a nice little jab in there at the end.

What a turd in the punchbowl Harris is. Plus she hates Christians and that is a Catholic Charities event. Probably being "the first Vice President to visit an abortion clinic" is more her thing.

The dems killed off the fun that used to go with the annual press corps dinner, by demeaning and trashing Sarah Huckabee in a below the belt venomous way about being fat etc, even though for decades it was an event where people rose up a bit and had bipartisan fun. Ditto for the Al Smith event. Kamala now says she is a no-show. Just kill off any tradition that is not filled with vitriol and hate which the dems thrive on.

Both Hillary and Obama were totally capable of going there, having fun, being respectful, picking up some votes and just generally not being a turd. Not so for the Harris marxist crowd.

Meanwhile, Trump has confirmed he will be there, so that puts more pressure on Harris to characterize the whole thing as a white supremacist rally, which is their go-to mode.

Nice little kick in the balls to Harris though by Cardinal Dolan, to wit:

“We’re not used to this. We don’t know how to handle it,” he went on. “This hasn’t happened in 40 years, since Walter Mondale turned down the invitation. And remember, he lost 49 out of 50 states. I don’t want to say there’s a direct connection there.”

Cardinal Dolan ‘disappointed’ Kamala Harris is skipping Al Smith dinner: ‘We’re not used to this’

https://nypost.com/2024/09/24/us-ne...appointed-harris-is-skipping-al-smith-dinner/

UsualName · Oct 17, 2024

Not too much movement in today’s update of the PA early vote. Prognosticators say Dems need a 350-400k firewall in the vbm/EV in PA to stand a chance. Last year Dem return rate was 5% higher, right now they are trending +8%. The Harris campaign is liking what they’re seeing in PA right now.

gwb-trading · Oct 17, 2024

The Democrats’ pro-union strategy has been a bust
Despite Joe Biden’s historically pro-union policies, the Democrats’ share of the union vote is falling.
https://www.vox.com/politics/378025/trump-harris-2024-election-polls-union-voters

El OchoCinco · Oct 17, 2024

insider trading said:
American Muslims helped Biden win in 2020. Will they abandon him now?

Arab and Muslim communities say they’ll ‘punish’ Biden even if it means Democrats lose in November.

In 2020, Joe Biden won the state of Michigan by a much closer margin over then-incumbent President Donald Trump than the polls and pundits had predicted: just more than 150,000 votes.

Two partly overlapping sets of voters helped tip Biden over the line in Michigan and other vital swing states, including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin: Muslim Americans and Arab Americans.

Now, four years later, as Biden and Trump head towards a rematch in November, the current Democratic Party incumbent faces the mounting prospects of a backlash from those very same voters, many of whom are seeking to bleed his re-election bid.

Growing outrage over Washington’s support for Israel in its unprecedented bombardment of Gaza is many prompting Arab-American and Muslim voters to declare that they intend to stay away from the polls. As the US continues military funding for Tel Aviv, the number of Palestinians killed in the war on Gaza has risen to nearly 30,000 since October 7, many of them children.

In Michigan, where early primaries begin this week, one-time Biden voters have promised to send his administration a strong message by sabotaging the elections, even as the president’s aides have scrambled to meet and mend broken ties with community leaders.

Which states are Arab-American voting strongholds?

There are approximately 3.5 million Arab Americans according to the Arab American Institute, making up around 1 percent of the US population. About 65 percent are Christians, approximately 30 percent are Muslim, and a small number practise Judaism.

While these groups tend to vote based on varying interests, “there’s almost unanimous consensus on the need for a Gaza ceasefire,” said Youssef Chouhoud, a race and religion researcher with Virginia’s Christopher Newmark University (CNU).

Dearborn, Michigan, is home to the largest Arab-American community in the US — more than 40 percent of the city’s population. Georgia, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Virginia are also home to large Arab communities.

At least three of those states – Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania — are going to be battleground swing states in November, where the difference in support for Democrats and Republicans is marginal, and small shifts could swing outcomes.

Arab votes made the difference in the tight 2020 race. Biden pushed ahead of Trump by 154,000 votes in Michigan – credited majorly to the Arab-American community, which accounted for 5 percent of the vote. Michigan is home to an estimated 240,000 Arab Americans.

In Georgia, Biden won by fewer than 12,000 votes. The state is home to more than 57,000 Arab Americans.

However, soaring discontent in those communities means for the first time in 26 years, the Democratic Party is no longer a choice for many Arab voters, whether Christian or Muslim. Biden’s approval ratings among American Arabs went from 59 percent in 2020 to 17 percent in 2023.
More...

I think Arab Americans stopped voting for Biden....when he dropped out...

El OchoCinco · Oct 17, 2024

insider trading said:
You are smarter than that Sir.

It should be clear by now that voters see no difference between Biden and Harris.
More...

Seeing how trump and the GOP is 100% pro Israel and cares little for Gaza or southern Lebanon labelling them terrorists and little support for the Arab American community, then voting for Jill Stein is basically saying they want a president like trump to take a bigger role in supporting Israel and bombing Lebanon and Gaza with U.S. made military.

Again this protest vote just shows how uninformed most of the electorate is....

gwb-trading · Oct 17, 2024

El OchoCinco said:
Seeing how trump and the GOP is 100% pro Israel and cares little for Gaza or southern Lebanon labelling them terrorists and little support for the Arab American community, then voting for Jill Stein is basically saying they want a president like trump to take a bigger role in supporting Israel and bombing Lebanon and Gaza with U.S. made military.

Again this protest vote just shows how uninformed most of the electorate is....
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Not to mention that the Trump surrogates have already stated that their policy would be to remove all Palestinians from Gaza and the West Bank -- and move them outside of Israel.

El OchoCinco · Oct 17, 2024

gwb-trading said:
Not to mention that the Trump surrogates have already stated that their policy would be to remove all Palestinians from Gaza and the West Bank -- and move them outside of Israel.
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Also the idea that some Arab Americans living in Wisconsin suddenly care about Hamas and Hezbollah..just like a Jewish person in U.S. has any connection to a foreign country named Israel.