They haven't been counted yet,but the RCP electoral college map has predicted the electoral college vote winner in 4 of the last 5 elections.The only one they got wrong was 2016 when they had Hillary Clinton ahead by only 6 electoral college votes,huge difference from the 66 electoral college votes Trump is currently ahead by. Yours truly,Closet MAGA.
I hope so! However, I doubt it. NC is a possibility though. Conversely, Trump will win some blue states, specifically in the southwest.
No. I did not say polling was “fixed.” What I said was the models were changed and pollsters “corrected” their models by reducing the weight on recall voters. By doing this they adjusted their results from 2020 to match the actual results. However, as I also said, with these models democrats have been running ahead of the polls. If you think pollsters just call 50 republicans and 50 democrats in each state and that’s how they get the results, you won’t understand what I am talking about. And, yes, typically when a democrat wins the presidency it is by an outsized margin. However, if democrats are running ahead of the polls that would reduce the polling lead democrats would be looking for. As far as state polls, it’s all about the cross tabs at this point. If you’re Trump and you’re looking at a Michigan or Pennsylvania poll and you see 23% support of African American males then you’re very happy and going to want press that because you know those states are going to be too close to call on election night.