Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump is the closest presidential race of the century https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/22/politics/closest-presidential-race-harris-trump/index.html
Outperformed (using that term loosely) by single digits in certain swing states. Otherwise the polls were dead-on him losing the national votes by millions, and a majority of red and blue states that they projected he would win or Hillary ('16) or Biden (' 20) would win - was right.
Trump outperformed the national polls by 2.7 and 2.9 points in 2020.Thats significant as Harris's lead is currently just 2.2. Trump outperformed state polling by 27 electoral votes in Real Clear Politics electoral map.Thats significant as Harris's lead is currently 14 electoral votes in Real Clear Politics electoral map. Biden's polling lead was 7.2 on election day 2020.Democrats should be terrified that Harris's lead is only 2.2.Bidens Real Clear Politics electoral map lead was 100 in 2020,Harris's is only 14 now.
Post some links. He lost national vote to both Clinton and Biden and extremely likely (based on registered voters Dem advantage) to lose national vote again to Harris. He won Electoral Vote over Clinton but lost it to Biden. That is his record. No matter what the polls got wrong or right. Up/down they will go till Nov 5th. As I keep saying over and over the Election Day poll is the only one that matters. Trump vs Clinton 2016 ought get that point across loud and clear.
Post some links. https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2016/trump-vs-clinton https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...ctions_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/trump-vs-biden https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...ctions_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html He lost national vote to both Clinton and Biden and extremely likely (based on registered voters Dem advantage) to lose national vote again to Harris. He might,but Harris's polling lead over Trump is less than both Clinton and Biden. He won Electoral Vote over Clinton but lost it to Biden. He did but Biden had a 7.2 point lead over Trump.Clinton had a 3.2 lead over Trump.Harris currently as a 2.2 lead over Trump.It took a 7.2 point lead to win the Electoral Vote over Trump,something Clinton did not have and Harris currently does not have. Up/down they will go till Nov 5th. True,but they have to go up a lot for Harris to reach the lead over Trump that Biden had. As I keep saying over and over the Election Day poll is the only one that matters. Trump vs Clinton 2016 ought get that point across loud and clear. 2020 also ought to get that point across loud and clear,as should 2012,2008 and 2004 where the candidates who lead in the polls won.
And the Polls at one time in 2016 had Clinton winning very easily. OrangeMan himself never thought he would win. Keep his track record intact. But Shillary pissed on the "deplorables" in PA, OH etc and tide turned. Polls mean shit. Like in football (in reference to favorite and underdog), its why they play the game.