Election 2024 Foreplay

Discussion in 'Politics' started by TreeFrogTrader, Feb 1, 2023.

  1. UsualName

    UsualName

    Biden’s approval has been sinking since Afghanistan withdrawal. Trump didn’t overtake the general election polling lead until April of 2023. The Hamas attack on Israel happened happened in October, 7 months after Trump took the polling lead.

    I’m not saying Israel isn’t an important issue, it just isn’t THE issue.

    I also don’t agree that police reform is pushing the polling either. Black voters tend to be more conservative than white democrats/progressives. Many people miss this fact because they see civil rights issues as liberal. By and large black voters rejected the defund the police nonsense. And quite frankly it was white progressives that sunk police reform with that.

    Now this gets a little complicated from here, or at least it does for me. The polling is showing Biden is losing some support among black and Hispanic voters nationally. But democrats have historically overperformed nationally and underperformed electoral college. That’s the win the national vote and lose the electoral college phenomenon. So Biden is losing some support in areas where democrats already overperform.

    With the realignment Biden actually competes more efficiently within the electoral college. Grabbing more college educated voters, white suburban voters and +65 voters brings Biden into areas democrats have traditionally lost.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/11/...ytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

    I tend to believe the polling and more and more immigration is becoming the top issue but in truth for democrat voters it tends to be migration. There’s a big difference there.

    It’s also important to remember Trump outright lost his bid for reelection and Obama lost considerable support in his reelection. So the modern electorate seems to make incumbency a little taxing lately too.

    There’s a lot to consider but I don’t buy the Israel and police reform arguments because they are not showing up in the polls.
     
    #4101     Mar 6, 2024
  2. Atlantic

    Atlantic

    4 MORE YEARS !

    [​IMG]
     
    #4102     Mar 6, 2024
  3. smallfil

    smallfil

    Democrats are headed there. One only has to look at their fascist ways. Hitler before the killed the Jews, took all their property, then, took their personal property like jewelry then, to debase them further, used them as slave labor before sending Jews to the gas chambers. Contrast that with the persecution of President Donald Trump. They filed numerous bogus lawsuits to bankrupt him, issued bogus judgements to take his properties (remember Leticia James, saying she will take Trump properties to satisfy that bogus judgement) and if they succeed in bankrupting Trump will lock him up in jail and maybe, even give him the death penalty. That is how sick Democrats are! They do not even try to hide it.
     
    #4103     Mar 6, 2024
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  4. smallfil

    smallfil

    That is the reason Joe Biden is letting illegals in the tens of millions into the US. Democrats seeing some of the slaves in their plantation escaping and now, they have to replace them to guarantee their hold onto power. The Democrats know the RINOs would be complicit to suit their business backers looking for more slave labor to exploit. There are reports that 20% of black and hispanic Democrat voters have said that they will vote for President Donald Trump. No doubt, the Democrats are seeing that they could lose in a big way and will not allow it.
     
    #4104     Mar 6, 2024
  5. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Bloomberg says Nikki is dropping out. 10AM et conference.
    Will her billionaire backers now shift to Trump?
     
    #4105     Mar 6, 2024
  6. What do you think?
     
    #4106     Mar 6, 2024
  7. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Bye Bye, Nikki.

    Nikki Haley will suspend her campaign and leave Donald Trump as the last major Republican candidate
    https://www.wral.com/story/nikki-ha...brink-after-super-tuesday-trouncing/21315131/

    NEW YORK (AP) — Nikki Haley will suspend her presidential campaign Wednesday after being soundly defeated across the country on Super Tuesday, according to people familiar with her decision, leaving Donald Trump as the last remaining major candidate for the 2024 Republican nomination.

    (More at above url)
     
    #4107     Mar 6, 2024
  8. smallfil

    smallfil

    A lot of big investors are fleeing New York now, Blackrock included. Kevin O' Leary of Shark Tank fame lambasted the prosecutor Leticia James for what they (she and the judge) did to President Donald Trump. No crime was committed, no one lost any monies. They better come to their senses. President Donald Trump did not harass any US businesses. Actually, he reduced tax rates to encourage businesses abroad to repatriate their huge profits thereby, collecting taxes from them. Joe Biden will continue to demonize businesses and scapegoat them as responsible for the huge inflation he himself created.
     
    #4108     Mar 6, 2024
    Buy1Sell2 and vanzandt like this.
  9. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    No idea, that's why I asked dum-dum.
     
    #4109     Mar 6, 2024
  10. Although Haley is not really a moderate Republican, she is a sane one. The GOP is going on a road trip:

    [​IMG]
     
    #4110     Mar 6, 2024
    gwb-trading likes this.