Election 2024 Foreplay

Discussion in 'Politics' started by TreeFrogTrader, Feb 1, 2023.

  1. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    Not sure what that means.Obama did have a problem with progressives,many of them who voted for him in 2008 did not do so in 2012.Unlike Biden will be able to do Obama had more blacks to come out and vote for him in 2012 than did in 2008.If Obama hadn't gotten the highest black voter turnout ever to make up for the lost of some progressives he would have lost.Thats why Biden has no chance.Biden has lost far more progressives than Obama did and he has lost millions of blacks that voted for him in 2020.
     
    #3811     Feb 25, 2024
  2. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    They wouldn't be even.Obamas final lead over Romney was just 0.7,but Obama lead 5-2 in the last 12 polls or 8-3 in the last 15 polls.As you can see leading 5-2 or 8-3 was far more important in predicting the winner then the 0.7 he lead by.



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    Also they certainly wouldn't be even with the slave states electoral college edge which is 3-5 points for the republican.Even Usualname agrees with that,at least he used to until Biden started sinking in the polls.



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    Last edited: Feb 25, 2024
    #3812     Feb 25, 2024
  3. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    I understand it,its just useless on this subject which you don't seem to understand.
     
    #3813     Feb 25, 2024
  4. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark





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    Last edited: Feb 26, 2024
    #3814     Feb 26, 2024
  5. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Unlike with Biden,there wasn't much of a demand for any.
     
    #3815     Feb 26, 2024
  6. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    upload_2024-2-26_6-47-43.png
     
    #3816     Feb 26, 2024
  7. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    upload_2024-2-26_6-53-7.png



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    Last edited: Feb 26, 2024
    #3817     Feb 26, 2024
  8. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    In 2016 The Green Party got 1% of the vote in WI

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    Currently The Green Party is polling at 4% and Biden is hated far more than Hillary with Progressives,Blacks,Hispanics,Arabs and climate voters.

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    Last edited: Feb 26, 2024
    #3818     Feb 26, 2024

  9. econometrics is useless yet you are posting numerous polls.....which is statistics..... which is what econometrics is based on...

    you hear yourself right?
     
    #3819     Feb 26, 2024
    Cuddles likes this.
  10. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    #3820     Feb 26, 2024