Election 2024 Foreplay

Tony Stark · Feb 6, 2024

UsualName said:
My post is about support in GE polling. I get that’s not what you are singularly focused on and nothing will get you to deviate from being a broken record but there are all kinds of metrics to observe and analyze.

A curious mind, not singularly focused on what they believe and zealously trying to make the world bend to their view, may ask why did Trump pick up support in April across all polling?

Trust me on this, I do not expect you to have the right answer. I expect you to try to force what you believe to be the answer.

I know. We all know.
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The fact that you think Biden hasn't lost support shows that you clearly don't know.

Trust me on this, you are clueless.

Tony Stark · Feb 6, 2024

UsualName said:
but there are all kinds of metrics to observe and analyze.
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You clearly dont know what they are.

Tony Stark · Feb 6, 2024

Nothing has been better for The Republican Party than Joe Biden.What should have been the easiest re election in history Biden will lose.

Tony Stark · Feb 6, 2024

If losing 93,000 in NV and 335,000 in PA wasn't bad enough,Biden lost another 200,000 in NC.

Tony Stark · Feb 6, 2024

Tony Stark said:
Biden lost another 200,000 in NC.
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The Usual Tard would disagree though.

TreeFrogTrader · Feb 6, 2024

UsualName said:
My post is about support in GE polling. I get that’s not what you are singularly focused on and nothing will get you to deviate from being a broken record but there are all kinds of metrics to observe and analyze.

A curious mind, not singularly focused on what they believe and zealously trying to make the world bend to their view, may ask why did Trump pick up support in April across all polling?

Trust me on this, I do not expect you to have the right answer. I expect you to try to force what you believe to be the answer.

I know. We all know.
More...

You are making AOC look like a genius.

No one should spend any time trying to figure out why Trump is up and Biden is flat-lined. None.

Tony Stark · Feb 7, 2024

UsualName · Feb 7, 2024

TreeFrogTrader said:
You are making AOC look like a genius.

No one should spend any time trying to figure out why Trump is up and Biden is flat-lined. None.

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Well we know you and Tony have your own narratives to push so I don’t expect you guys to do anything but bend into a pretzel as we move closer to the general election.

Just as an FYI for the more astute, Trump’s trial in Manhattan started on March 25th and he gained ~3% in GE polling. Biden has sustained ~44%, while Trump is now at about ~46%.

gwb-trading · Feb 7, 2024

gwb-trading said:
Let's take a look at how the GOP primary clusterf@ck in Nevada is going.

'Ultimate degeneration': Nevada Republicans fear they've made their state 'irrelevant'
https://www.rawstory.com/nevada-republicans-2667118005/

Nevada Republicans thought they had a brilliant plan to prevent any of former President Donald Trump's rivals from challenging him for the delegates in their state — but instead, reported Politico on Tuesday, their plan has blown up in their face, as they are holding multiple contests with different candidates in each, voters are confused about which will even count, and nationally Republicans have written off the whole state as "irrelevant."

The trouble began when the Democratic-controlled state legislature passed a law shifting Nevada from holding caucuses, which are increasingly falling out of favor due to their complexity and track record of disenfranchising voters, with state-run primaries. But the state GOP decided to hold a caucus anyway and declare that the results of the primary won't count. Party insiders like former executive director Chuck Muth warned this was "bullsh*t" and only done because leaders “wanted the caucus rigged for Trump.”

Ultimately, Trump will appear on the caucus ballot but not the primary ballot, and his only major remaining rival, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, will appear on the primary ballot but not the caucus ballot. While there is widespread confusion among voters who don't realize there are two contests, Trump winning the delegates is essentially a foregone conclusion — with the consequence that Republicans are barely bothering to campaign in the state, which in previous cycles was seen as essential.

As a result of the chaos, reported David Siders, "Recent headlines about the election here have ranged from 'EXPERTS: Why Trump, DeSantis are not on Nevada Primary Election ballot' to 'Dual elections causing confusion among Nevada Republican voters' to 'Nevada Republicans can’t decide between a primary or a caucus — so they’re doing both.' Earlier this month, a Reno TV station ran a fact check on a social media post from a rural Nevada voter questioning why her primary ballot was 'missing a certain DONALD J TRUMP.'" Former GOP state controller Ron Knecht bemoaned the situation as "crazy" and "the ultimate degeneration of Republican politics."

All of this comes at a time when Nevada Republicans have seen a long string of losses in federal races, with one of their only major victories being the narrow retaking of the governor's mansion in 2022, and are concerned about their losses with suburban voters going forward.

"Following Trump’s defeat in 2020, a pro-Trump insurgency with ties to the Proud Boys, a militant, far-right group, seized control of the GOP in Nevada’s largest county, Clark. For a time, two competing leadership groups claimed to represent the local GOP," noted the report. Meanwhile, "In Northern Nevada’s Washoe County, a traditional bellwether, several GOP officials resigned from their party positions amid an uprising from pro-Trump activists. To Republicans worried about expanding the party’s reach, a caucus benefitting one candidate was a poor choice."
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LOL

Nikki Haley was outvoted by the “None of These Candidates” option on a ballot that did not include Donald Trump.
Ms. Haley ran essentially unopposed in the primary, which awards no delegates. The former president will compete in Thursday’s caucuses.
Wednesday, February 7, 2024 12:18 AM ET
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/02/06/us/nevada-election-biden-trump-haley

gwb-trading · Feb 7, 2024

gwb-trading said:
Nikki Haley says 'unhinged' Trump had to back off pressuring RNC to declare him 2024 nominee
Haley 'disappointed' in RNC chair Ronna McDaniel for pressuring her to leave race
https://www.foxnews.com/media/nikki...-back-off-pressuring-rnc-declare-2024-nominee
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Ronna McDaniel just completed the Donald Trump cycle of employment.

RNC Chair McDaniel has offered to step down following South Carolina primary
https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/06/politics/ronna-mcdaniel-donald-trump-rnc/index.html