. January 1, 2012 SouthAmerica: My crystal ball continues to be very foggy these days, and I would be lying to you if I told you that I understand how the new economic system adopted by the United States in 2008 works. It is very hard to make any intelligent predictions when today we have a new economic system adopted here in the United States based on stock market manipulations, massive U.S. government intervention and nationalization of major sectors of the US economy. And we have a U.S. government acting as if itâs in complete PANIC because the entire US economic system is spinning completely out of control in a downward spiral and as a result the US government is resorting to printing money as fast as they can in a major last effort to avoid the First Great Depression of the 21st Century. We had QE1, QE2, QE3, âQE-Europeâ, and âQE-anythingâ to keep the financial and economic system afloat a little longer, and keep the entire system from imploding into a black hole. I have been writing for many years that the âFirst Great Depression of the 21st Centuryâ has been already underway for a few years. I mentioned on my articles, and on my postings on the Elite Trader forums. Here are a few links to the various threads: Itâs 2008. The U.S. Has Dragged the World into a Depression http://www.brazzilmag.com/component...-has-dragged-the-world-into-a-depression.html *** Over 75 years ago Wall Street Crashed; but today the New Crash is already underway... http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=117003&perpage=6&pagenumber=29 The coming international trade war http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=185787&perpage=6&pagenumber=7 The final collapse of the US dollar it is just around the corner http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=216802 Here is a preview of the coming US dollar meltdown http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3075811#post3075811 Economic Forecast for US Economy for 2011 and Beyond http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3051113#post3051113 The US dollar and the biggest default in history http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=121313&perpage=6&pagenumber=1 The Crumbling of America http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=222491&perpage=6&pagenumber=9 Central Banks and the US Dollar http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=81958&perpage=6&pagenumber=92 The Origins of the American Military Coup of 2012 http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=232396 ***** SouthAmerica: In a 1994 cover story by Carol J. Loomis on Fortune magazine, Fortune called derivatives, then relatively new on the scene, "The Risk That Won't Go Away." Years later derivatives grabbed everyoneâs attention when Warren Buffett called it âfinancial weapons of mass destructionâ The derivatives market was at the core of the events regarding the global financial meltdown of the September/October 2008. The derivatives threat is back in a big way, and that market is ripe to explode into a catastrophic chain reaction that can result in a massive meltdown of the entire global financial system. I have no idea who is in the other side of these derivatives with a notional amount outstanding of US$ 708 trillion US dollars as reported by the Bank for International Settlements. Maybe these figures also include business deals and derivative contracts with other planets such as Mercury, Venus, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. BIS Quarterly Review â December 2011 â Page A 131 Table 19: Amounts outstanding of over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives Notional amounts outstanding as of June 2011 = US$ 708 trillion http://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qa1112.pdf ***** http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Derivative_(finance) ...According to the Bank for International Settlements, the total outstanding notional amount is US$708 trillion (as of June 2011). Of this total notional amount, 67% are interest rate contracts, 8% are credit default swaps (CDS), 9% are foreign exchange contracts, 2% are commodity contracts, 1% are equity contracts, and 12% are other. Because OTC derivatives are not traded on an exchange, there is no central counter-party. Therefore, they are subject to counter-party risk, like an ordinary contract, since each counter-party relies on the other to perform. ***** In a Nutshell: The global banking system is at the edge of the abyss, and we would have a massive global financial meltdown, if they were not trying to play games with the figures, and trying very hard to hide their massive losses the best way they can. What this US$ 708 trillion dollars figure is telling me is that most of the derivatives is nothing more than a humongous âPonzi Schemeâ that can blow up at any time and start a massive chain reaction that can destroy the entire global financial system â it will be remembered as: the mother of all financial meltdowns. During the great depression of the 1930's we had the stock market collapse of 1929, then in the following 3 years the stock market bounced back, then in 1932 started the real nasty decline that sunk the stock market and the US economy into the bottom of the abyss. Today, we have reached that special 1932 turning point: the point where the stock market and the US economy it will sink like the Titanic. What I am saying is: it does not matter who will be the next president of the United States, because we are entering the catastrophic phase of the new great depression similar to the period from 1932 to 1940. We are going to have real rough years ahead of us. It's not going to be a pretty sight. You can bet on that!!!!!!! By the way, this new great depression that is underway, it will be a lot worse than the great depression of the 1930's. You might be wondering why the US mainstream media has not been using the term âGreat Depressionâ to described what has been going on in the economy of many countries all over Europe, and in the United States? Only few years in the future they will look back to this period that we are going through, and then they will start calling this period the âFirst Great Depression of the 21st Century.â My guess is that in 2012 we will have another massive global financial meltdown worse than the one we had in 2008. We never had before so much government interference and manipulation on the financial markets the way that we have today, and it is hard to predict what would create the spark that would blow up the entire global financial system â but that could happen at any time. .