Earnings Next Week - The Four Horsemen

Discussion in 'Options' started by OptionGuru, Jul 20, 2016.

  1. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    The July 29 100.00 ATM straddle is $4.14. The MM's expect AAPL to be about $104.00 or $96.00 when the market closes on July 29

    There was a $4.90 straddle on Pigflix the day of earnings. It means nothing. If AAPL was gonna run, it would have by now. Its gonna see the '80's. The only thing that has saved it so far is Buffet's lackeys and Cramer.

    Glad to see you only bought one though. You must be new to this game, and I say that because of your remark about professionals using Yahoo Finance. That's laughable. But I am not mocking you... just don't put all your eggs in one basket. If one call is all you can afford,.... my advice is sell it ASAP. If you can cover your commissions, take it.

    They are gonna surprise. ..........................To the downside. And then they'll say its all OK because everyone will upgrade to the IPhone7. Ain't happenin'. ITunes is dead. Kids don't have the money to buy new phones. Chinese are frugal, Android can be had with the same level of functionality that an AAPL product has for 25% of the price. Ditto India and their culture.

    A major corporate transformation has to be on the table in their high level meetings....and whatever they come up with, .... is yet to be proven. I wouldn't be surprised if they cut the divy.... but that's down the road. October maybe. But G/L either way, ... never bet it all. Been there done that.
     
    Last edited: Jul 20, 2016
    #11     Jul 20, 2016
  2. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    I hope you got out like I said. They had a nice pop on Qcom... but what most people don't know, is that the IPHONE 7 is going to be using Intel chips. AAPL has switched their modem chips to Intel's... and I have to assume the 7's are already in production.

    AAPL heads south.
     
    #12     Jul 21, 2016
  3. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    No tech analyst knows this. Just you.
     
    #13     Jul 21, 2016
  4. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    I don't know about that,... but now you know too. :D

    Are you a tech analyst or "most people"? Either way... you need to short this pig.
     
    #14     Jul 21, 2016
  5. OptionGuru

    OptionGuru

    Hold on to your horses vanzandt. As I stated in post #8.





    :)
     
    #15     Jul 21, 2016
  6. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    No prob bro... just tryin to help. :cool:
     
    #16     Jul 21, 2016
  7. OptionGuru

    OptionGuru

    Planning For Next Week

    • FB market cap 340B.
    • GOOGL market cap 500B.

    IMO .......... FB is undervalued compared to GOOGL, I see a lot more people on Facebook than Google. My plan is to buy some FB weekly OTM calls on Wednesday.

    What does Google have that Facebook can't get? Comments welcome.


    :)
     
    #17     Jul 21, 2016
  8. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    :DThere is some crazy thread in Politics and Religion about God being mute. If Google and Facebook ever merged.... there is no doubt in my mind we would have an all-knowing, all-seeing, omnipotent God. The masses would make the annual hajj to Mountain View. There would be cave drawings of Mark Zuckerberg 1000 years from now on Neptune.
    _______________

    Facebook's strong, ....as long as the broader markets don't tank (your only risk factor imo), you're golden. I bet those premiums are high though. I haven't looked at it in awhile. Probably better to buy the stock and sell the calls into earnings, ...and then after earnings buy your OTM calls. Slow and steady wins the race. jmo. g/l
     
    #18     Jul 22, 2016
  9. Zestilio

    Zestilio

    Yeah, but one should always be aware of his abilities and current market situation, and make sure to avoid trading if they don't match. Money never sleeps - it's always trying to escape...
     
    #19     Jul 25, 2016
  10. OptionGuru

    OptionGuru

    [​IMG]



    • AAPL's earnings are tomorrow
    • AAPL is going to have a big move one way or the other.
    • IMO ..... this is a good opportunity to go long with OTM weekly calls.





    :)
     
    #20     Jul 25, 2016