Earnings journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by TheBigShort, Jan 13, 2019.

  1. Isn't any news already priced into the market before the articles are even released? Other than pure curiousity and awareness I don't see much value in reading the news.

    The signal is within the noise and the numbers speak for themselves. TheBigShort is very smart and analytically inclined and has a bunch of statistical tools at his disposal, and thats what one needs in his arsenal to trade earnings at least.
     
    #511     Jun 27, 2019
  2. I'm a lil confused. Didn't you sell the 157.5 straddle? The short straddle was a winner correct?
     
    #512     Jun 27, 2019
  3. I am reading his book "Volatility Trading" and its great. I'm now getting into PDE's and forumals and such like you. Its heavy but the more I look at it the more familiar.

    Have you looked into jump-diffusion models to approach earnings?
     
    #513     Jun 27, 2019
  4. $WBA June 53/52/48 Put Butterfly $0.40 credit
     
    #514     Jun 27, 2019
    TheBigShort likes this.
  5. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Numbers out on WBA. Stock jumping up on news. So far so good.
     
    #515     Jun 27, 2019
  6. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    I don't want to jynx you here but CAG # are out. Your short straddle is looking like a damn good trade
     
    #516     Jun 27, 2019
  7. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    I just went long delta in stock.
    Long WBA @ 52.80
     
    #517     Jun 27, 2019
  8. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    If you guys have time, jump into the WBA or CAG earnings call.
     
    #518     Jun 27, 2019
  9. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Closed position @ 53.90 Gain of 1.10
     
    #519     Jun 27, 2019
  10. New to EliteTrader but been trading earnings for awhile now. Hope I can contribute somewhere. WBA short vol. seems to have worked well (chart below from marketchameleon). To date my bread and butter has been pre-earnings trades (long vol - calendars, staddles, ratios). Keep up the good work everyone.

    upload_2019-6-27_8-48-28.png
     
    #520     Jun 27, 2019
    Philo Judeaus likes this.