Isn't any news already priced into the market before the articles are even released? Other than pure curiousity and awareness I don't see much value in reading the news. The signal is within the noise and the numbers speak for themselves. TheBigShort is very smart and analytically inclined and has a bunch of statistical tools at his disposal, and thats what one needs in his arsenal to trade earnings at least.
I am reading his book "Volatility Trading" and its great. I'm now getting into PDE's and forumals and such like you. Its heavy but the more I look at it the more familiar. Have you looked into jump-diffusion models to approach earnings?
I don't want to jynx you here but CAG # are out. Your short straddle is looking like a damn good trade
New to EliteTrader but been trading earnings for awhile now. Hope I can contribute somewhere. WBA short vol. seems to have worked well (chart below from marketchameleon). To date my bread and butter has been pre-earnings trades (long vol - calendars, staddles, ratios). Keep up the good work everyone.