Earnings journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by TheBigShort, Jan 13, 2019.

  1. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Earnings season is going so far so good. Need some help with TWTR tomorrow (biggest position).

    Screen Shot 2019-04-19 at 2.05.23 AM.png
     
    #271     Apr 22, 2019
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  2. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    @newwurldmn Did you get out okay? I closed at 6.64! Turned out to be a nice winner.
    TWTR did really good for me as well but I did not post fill. Bot the Straddles for 3.44 sold for 4.96. Account up +9% since journal. Lost on UTX and SNV.
     
    #272     Apr 23, 2019
  3. oldmonk

    oldmonk

    Congrats on TWTR. I traded LMT, PG, NUE. Took small gains on PG (3.4->3) & NUE(1.6->1.4). LMT looked real bad pre-market but I managed to get out when it dipped near the open (9.4->13.6). Down overall for the day.
     
    #273     Apr 23, 2019
  4. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    Good call on both. I am up on WHR. Would have done much better had I not hedged in the post market.
     
    #274     Apr 23, 2019
    TheBigShort likes this.
  5. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Thnx. I had an order in for LMT before close but could not get filled. Yes LMT looked very scary this morning (same with WHR). Lucky Us!
     
    #275     Apr 23, 2019
  6. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Long EBAY Straddles. Apr26 36.5 avg $2.28 I don't think there is any risk in this trade.

    I am short vol on ANTM. I have no reason to believe the current premium is justified. I have looked over the fundamentals/recent news and I cant find anything that will cause a large spike here! The margin of safety is quite large in my opinion.

    Short the 225/250 250/275 for Cr.12.05.
    Edit** short the April 26th^
     
    #276     Apr 23, 2019
  7. destriero

    destriero


    Didn't ANTM move 15% last report? I's unlikely to repeat as it's likely priced in, but You're long the fly from 13?
     
    #277     Apr 23, 2019
  8. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Yea they had a large move! Which is why the vol (in my opinion) is so steep! Yes I am long the 225/250/275 Fly for 12.95 risk.
    .
    What do you think about the EBAY play? The Atm straddle is just over $2. Pretty cheap, no?
     
    #278     Apr 23, 2019
  9. oldmonk

    oldmonk

    I'm short vol on NOC 270/292.5/315 @ 11.6 Cr & GD 167.5/182.5/197.5 @ 7.25 Cr

    Screen also included BOKF & DTE, but strikes too wide to get a good R/R.
     
    #279     Apr 23, 2019
  10. destriero

    destriero


    I bot some of the EBAY, thanks.
     
    #280     Apr 23, 2019
    TheBigShort likes this.