Earnings journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by TheBigShort, Jan 13, 2019.

  1. oldmonk

    oldmonk

    NUE, LMT, SNV. AXTA & FITB also made my screen, but I don't think I'm trading them (too short history & low stock price, respectively). Will wait till around 3:30 before getting in.
     
    #261     Apr 22, 2019
    TheBigShort likes this.
  2. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    UTX has Boeing 737 risk. It was their faulty sensors
     
    #262     Apr 22, 2019
  3. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Why is no one talking about this?! Every article on my news feed is bullish. This could be a massive trade. Maybe a put backspread? There debt has also been growing by 19% CAGR. Some bad earnings news related to Boeing could really hurt
     
    #263     Apr 22, 2019
  4. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    I am looking at the J lizard - -1x138C + 1x143C + 1x133P for Cr.85 on UTX. However UTX barely took any heat, during the Boeing melt down.

    Edit** Filled avg -.83. I think this is a great idea @newwurldmn
     
    Last edited: Apr 22, 2019
    #264     Apr 22, 2019
  5. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Bot back the UTX short Calls for a profit. Riding on the strangle (138/133) over night.

    Edit** no fill on WHR. Vol came in ALOT. This morning the straddle was trading @10.50, we are below 9 now. Not enough edge here

    Edit** partial fill on 2 WHR 126/139 139 /155 avg 8.74. Wish me luck here guys, this either opens up at $4 or $12. Metals and oil vol has dropped which should help WHR. Plus alot of inovation (compared to recent past) is happening at that company
     
    Last edited: Apr 22, 2019
    #265     Apr 22, 2019
    samuel11 likes this.
  6. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    I forgot to mention, the skew Pctile on WHR is 100%. Everyone is hedged here. There is little downside. Plus the people on stocktwits are all bearish. Thats enough from me, way to many posts in one day
     
    #266     Apr 22, 2019
  7. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    F*^k, this thing is moving more to the upside than I would like.
     
    #267     Apr 22, 2019
  8. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    I liked your idea. I sold May strangles and I just hedged the delta. The problem with being part time is that I was talking to someone as I saw the stock gap up from 144 to 148 (where I hedged). Expecting reset to 35 vol and I will see from there - so far, expecting to lose small.
     
    #268     Apr 22, 2019
  9. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Yea, it's really pushing high here. Usually the confrence calls are negative. Hopefully, that will push us back down a bit.

    I did not know you hedge overnight. How's the liquidity? Do you hedge your delta at 100 due to Post Earn Drift?
     
    #269     Apr 22, 2019
  10. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    I hedged to flat delta. I don’t alwaysbuedge overnight but if a stock is gapping I will. Liquidity sucks but I would rather pay 50 cents in bid offer than ride short delta for 3 dollars.
     
    #270     Apr 22, 2019
    TheBigShort likes this.