Earnings journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by TheBigShort, Jan 13, 2019.

  1. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Could you explain what you think will happen and what final position you are trying to get into before the event?
     
    #201     Apr 9, 2019
  2. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Looks like no gap on PSMT. Well done guys. Vol should drop to 33-38 range in the morning.
     
    #202     Apr 9, 2019
    .sigma and oldmonk like this.
  3. sfwind

    sfwind

    I am betting upside surprise, but price action doesn't give me the confidence. I don't mind owning the stock for the long term, hence the put selling. May sell more prior to earnings.
     
    #203     Apr 9, 2019
  4. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    I am not much of a price action guy, but on my screen TWTR hasn't had a down day in the past 10 days. Could you elaborate on what type of price action would help you confirm the positive surprise?
     
    #204     Apr 9, 2019
  5. oldmonk

    oldmonk

    Wow PSMT. I was giving it some time for spreads to narrow, but it ran all the way past 64 right out the gate. Finally legged out for 4.0. Expected to make a lot more on this after yesterday's post-earnings move. Terrible liquidity on this one, both on the stock and the options. I guess that's how they get away with reporting sales before the earnings call!
     
    #205     Apr 10, 2019
  6. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Yea I got a slightly worse fill. It looks like 10 60 straddles were bought for under $3 before 9.45. I think the best way to trade these it to put a limit order in right in the morning (if there is no gap like in PSMT). We should have made +$1.5 on this trade! But yea, horrendous liquidity
     
    #206     Apr 10, 2019
  7. oldmonk

    oldmonk

    Similar thing happened to me on YY back in March. It appeared to open with a ~0% gap, and within seconds it was pumped up 10%+.
     
    #207     Apr 10, 2019
  8. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Only 2 companies on my screen FAST and APOG. I have no opinion on them. Does anyone have any insight?

    The trade was there for the first 20 minutes (I was busy this morning). I wonder if Neww got a good fill. But the stock really only traded above 62.5 after 9:50. Thats unfortuante on the YY trade. Limit orders before the open!
     
    #208     Apr 10, 2019
  9. sfwind

    sfwind

    can't resist the temptation; sold 30 lots of bbby 19 put
     
    #209     Apr 10, 2019
  10. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Last year I sold a straddle @ 19 on BBBY, stock opened at $13. Good Luck with this one bud!
     
    #210     Apr 10, 2019