Duxon's Archive

Discussion in 'Journals' started by expiated, Feb 1, 2019.

  1. expiated

    expiated

    Given that NPP has finally fully emerged from development, I'm looking into self-publishing the system using Amazon's Kindle Direct Publishing. If I do, I'm going to charge the maximum price ($200 Kindle, $250 paperback) because I don't REALLY want anyone to purchase it.

    Moreover, I think it's worth every penny, because anyone who uses the system faithfully is virtually guaranteed to make tons of money, especially if they already have lots of capital to begin/work with. But all this notwithstanding—I'm don't have quite the concern with making my system public as I did previously, because there is a certain amount of discretion involved due to the fact that it's necessary to interpret how the various (integrated) factors are likely to interact with one another to affect price action.

    And who knows? If it does become common knowledge that individuals and/or institutions are using my strategies to make money hand over fist, it could lead to unexpected opportunities I can't even imagine right now. In any case, I don't see how it would do any good to let what I've developed die with me, so once the book is actually finished, I'll think long and hard about whether to go ahead and reveal my "secrets" to the world.
     
    Last edited: May 17, 2021
    #441     May 17, 2021
  2. expiated

    expiated

    ScreenHunter_10051 May. 19 16.29.jpg
     
    #442     May 19, 2021
  3. expiated

    expiated

    Thursday / May 20, 2021 / 7:25 AM PST

    I typed the following in the "Daily Analysis" thread...

    ScreenHunter_10060 May. 20 07.00.jpg
    1. Regarding trading with a five-minute chart, at this moment, I regard the key temporal measures as consisting of the 4-, 14-, and 26-hour support and resistance levels.
    2. It's my opinion that the gist of price flow is conveyed by the 16-hour baseline—with the 24- and 32-hour baselines evidencing too much lag to represent the general direction in which rates are headed at this level with the highest degree of accuracy, precision, and validity.
    3. The intraday trend is more closely followed by the two-hour baseline, with actionable fluctuations tracked by the 40- and 60-minute baselines. (At this level [once again] the four-hour baseline evidences too much lag to trace the trend with an optimal degree of accuracy, precision, and validity.)
    Price range deviations are calculated as follows:
    • 40-minute - 0.13%
    • 90-minute - 0.20%
    • 2-hour - 0.35%
    • 4-hour - 0.45%
    • 8-hour - 0.70%
    • 16-hour - 0.75%
     
    Last edited: May 20, 2021
    #443     May 20, 2021
  4. expiated

    expiated

    Save for future reference...

    upload_2021-5-20_9-54-48.png

    If you decide to do something like this somewhere down the road, what will differentiate you from all the rest is you're not going to charge for the training.
     
    #444     May 20, 2021
  5. easymon1

    easymon1

    Would it be possible to illustrate the above with a chart or graphic of some type?
     
    #445     May 20, 2021
  6. expiated

    expiated

    ScreenHunter_10070 May. 20 19.14.jpg
     
    #446     May 20, 2021
    studentofthemarkets and easymon1 like this.
  7. expiated

    expiated

    Your shorter-term and longer-term guidelines on the same page...

    ScreenHunter_10085 May. 22 15.18.jpg


    upload_2021-5-22_15-21-0.png
     
    #447     May 22, 2021
  8. expiated

    expiated

    Me thinks I have nothing more to draw from studying the Numerical Price Prediction system, so I've begun to rewrite the final version of my book. This week I plan to attempt implementing what is written above, and if I have my first daily $30 payout trading 0.02 lots, I will take it as confirmation that I am on the right track and finish the publication, God willing. (I might also increase the typical size of my trades from 0.02 lots to 0.03 lots.)

    The plan is to self-publish the book via Amazon's Kindle Direct Publishing and charge $250 (paperback) given that I'm not all that gung-ho about seeing people actually buy it, thereby making all my "secrets" public. (There's also the possibility that once it's actually written, I'll set it aside, not to be published until after I'm no longer active in the markets.)
     
    #448     May 23, 2021
  9. expiated

    expiated

    It has been replaced by the use of the 2-hour price range envelope at 0.32% deviation.

    (Note that price seems to want to revert/regress back to the 2-hour baseline at least once a day. See if you can use this "phenomenon" to your advantage, constructing a tactic with an almost 100% success rate.)

    Perhaps I spoke too soon. Right now, it looks to me like I might gain additional insight by temporarily focusing my attention exclusively on price action within the 2- and 4-hour price ranges.
     
    Last edited: May 24, 2021
    #449     May 24, 2021
  10. expiated

    expiated

    This looks to be a rather sweet "trick" for picking up a few pips profit here and there relatively quickly...

    ScreenHunter_10093 May. 24 08.52.jpg

    Continue to follow these pairs and see if price makes it all the way back to the baseline. If it does so consistently, you can set more ambitious take-profit targets starting tomorrow.
     
    #450     May 24, 2021