If trump wins, COVID vol premium for the next 4 years. A million dead but learning from the republicans, that doesn’t concern me.
Another way is if Biden carries just NV then he wins 270-268, all else going to Trump (PA, NC, GA, AK).
That explains the difference in thinking. AZ was already called for Biden on the Yahoo map I was looking at.
The problem with AZ is that the "late-early" ballots are largely aged Trump supporters who dropped off their ballots not wanting to risk COVID on election day. It will likely cut Biden's lead to inside 20K votes. NV lead increases marginally to 12K votes.