I thought I have explained everything. From the 2nd bottom long you exit at the Failure. From the Failure short you exit at the 3rd bttom. From the 3rd bottom long there is no exit rule, because the pattern doesn't predict the size of the advance....
Long time, no see. I am posting this because recently there was interest in the pattern and it looks like this might have signaled the end of this sell off, but if not, definitely a nice bounce from the 3rd bottom. Height 8 pts, Failure at 4 pts on the SMA, classic: For extra credit, here is another one earlier in the day: The Height was 18 pts and there was a little 5 pts bounce after 22 pts drop (from the Failure), showing that you just never know....
" i hope you can ride your dragon..............." riding the pony is much more fun. no sharp scales to rip your britches. s
This thread seems too dormant to me, apparently not for the market. We had a double top at 5400 on the NDX daily chart in the last 2 weeks that failed to fall 2 days ago at 5360. I quickly did the math, made the prediction of topping at 5420 and sure enough, the next day (yesterday) it did top at 5426. So far it dropped below 5400 but bouncing up now. I believe we have a long term top here, still too early to tell, but the pattern played out as I expected. The upper BB touch was a nice addition to confirm the top...
You mean where I put the number 3? I count it as one peak, because it just continued from the previous day. Now if you consider the futures, they did gap up between the 15th and 16th and they did cause a 4th peak but this daily chart doesn't show it...
Oh I see, well it has to be a double top or bottom (thus 2 peaks nearly at the same level) to be considered a possible dragon formation. The one you mention was much lower at 5360...