Dragon pattern

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Pekelo, Feb 18, 2009.

  1. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    No. The drop from the Doubletop fails, thus if so, we are going higher, making a 3rd top.

    (and with the opposite pattern, when the rally fails from the double bottom we are making a 3rd, lower bottom)
     
    #151     Oct 21, 2009
  2. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    For the record, that previous dragon pattern eventually failed and it never made higher than 1001, with a meltdown on Wendesday afternoon.

    Here is a possible new one, just forming, best seen on the NDX:

    [​IMG]

    Height is 40 pts, looks like we have a Failure at 1763, on the SMA...

    If we go below 1760, the pattern is invalidated...
     
    #152     Oct 23, 2009
  3. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Looks like I pulled the trigger a bit early on this one, and eventually there was no Failure, the doubletop dropped without one.

    What I thought to be a Failure was just an SMA bounce. It also happened a bit earlier than the failure zone. The correct zone was around 1758-60 and as this chart shows the price went through it without even trying to reverse....

    [​IMG]
     
    #153     Oct 23, 2009
  4. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    I went out for a lunch, and look what happened:

    [​IMG]

    Height : 5.5

    3rd bottom form Failure: 4.75
     
    #154     Oct 28, 2009
  5. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    This bigger one was only good for 3 pts so far, although it might signal the end of this 4 days selloff...

    [​IMG]

    Height : 8 pts

    Failure : should have happened 1 pt higher
     
    #155     Oct 28, 2009
  6. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Here is an interesting one. Usually the Height is measured from the 1st bottom to the Midpoint of the W, but here it worked out measuring the Height from the 2nd bottom to the Midpoint and it still dropped the amount of the 1st bottom-Midpoint measurement:
    (chart is 5 days/15 mins)

    [​IMG]

    1st bottom-Midpoint: 23 pts

    Midpoint-2nd bottom: 34 pts

    2nd bottom-Failure: 18 pts (about half of 34)

    Failure-3rd bottom: 23 pts (same as the first)
     
    #156     Nov 3, 2009
  7. Eric J

    Eric J

    Thanks for the info here Pekelo . I have been using the "Pekelo" dragon as a continuation signal and find it to be reliable . I found the retracemnet can be up to 62 % before the failure point .
     
    #157     Nov 8, 2009
  8. ammo

    ammo

    upside down spx chart gives the feet of a reverse dragon pattern...i dont know how to spot this pattern so i am asking u guys
     
    #158     Nov 28, 2009
  9. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Long time no see, it might have just signaled the top of this relentless rally:
    (10 days/hourly chart)

    [​IMG]

    Height: 19 points

    Failure : at 10 pts

    3rd top: 16.5 pts
     
    #159     Apr 6, 2010
  10. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Gianto Dragono:

    [​IMG]

    Height: 11 pts

    Failure: 5 pts

    3rd bottom: at 12.5 pts...
     
    #160     Apr 27, 2010