Dragon pattern

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Pekelo, Feb 18, 2009.

  1. vmaxer

    vmaxer

    How do you put the pic in the post?

    Also, would you give this pattern less weight since it involves AH action? Have you noticed a significant difference between RTH based and AH based dragons?
     
    #111     Aug 11, 2009
  2. vmaxer

    vmaxer

    Just noticed double dragons. The failure of the first is the midpoint of the second. Both point to a reversal/bounce at 984-984.75.

    Will be nice if tomorrow presents a top / short opportunity at 996ish.
     
    #112     Aug 11, 2009
  3. vmaxer

    vmaxer

    Apparently a dragon using AH numbers hits the target in the AH. Big reversal today from 985.75 (1-1.75 pts shy of the target) and went 25.5 pts (height of the big dragon basically).
     
    #113     Aug 12, 2009
  4. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Long time, no see:

    [​IMG]

    Let's see how much we drop from here, perfect runup to 1037.

    Height 6 pts, Failure at 1031
     
    #114     Sep 10, 2009
  5. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Not very symmetric, but the numbers are perfect. NDX 4 days/15 mins chart:

    [​IMG]

    Height : 17 pts

    Failure : at 1683

    3rd top: 1700
     
    #115     Sep 15, 2009
  6. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    ...and one with perfect symmetry, still in progress:

    [​IMG]

    Height is about 110 points, Failure at 9580, 3rd top 9690...
     
    #116     Sep 15, 2009
  7. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    It was hard to do the counting, actually the Height was a bit more than 110 pts, and sure enough we had a top at 9696, followed by a 25 pts drop. After that fullfilling my prediction of 1056 SPX we went one higher:
    (SPX 4 days/15 mins chart, not as symmetric as the DJX)

    [​IMG]

    Height was 13 pts. Failure at 1043 so I posted in the ES Journal a prediction of 1056. Sure enough, that was the HOD....

    Special note: Today I posted 3 charts of the 3 indeces. The last 2 are similar, the same timeframe, only the SPX had its first 2 tops at different levels. The first NDX chart happened earlier peaking at the open, the 3rd top is the same as the 2nd top of the last 2 charts...
     
    #117     Sep 15, 2009
  8. Mvic

    Mvic

    Nice work P!
     
    #118     Sep 15, 2009
  9. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Thanks, I do it for the applause! :)

    Here is an interesting one, I should call it The imperfect dragon, meaning some part of the pattern didn't go as in the classic case. The Failure should have happened closer to the SMA line where I bounced the line. Why it didn't go down that much? I don't know, maybe the dollar was too weak or a positive news didn't let the market fail. Anyway, except that part everything else worked:

    SPX daily, imperfect dragon:

    [​IMG]

    Heigth: 48 pts

    Failure (should have been) at 1026ish

    3rd top: 1074
     
    #119     Sep 17, 2009
  10. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Posted 30 minutes before the Fed announcement in the ES Journal:

    This is what became of it:

    [​IMG]

    It should have rallied about 2 pts higher to make it perfect, but hey....

    I think this dragon ended our 6 months uptrend and we will be going down for a while...
     
    #120     Sep 23, 2009