DOW under 10000 next year?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by andrasnm, Sep 23, 2008.

Dow under 10K? by the end of 2009?

  1. Yes

    20 vote(s)
    66.7%
  2. No

    10 vote(s)
    33.3%
  1. I say no matter what bozo will inherit the WH - it is coming. A "Mother of a Bear Market". Typically while the dollar is falling the market will keep up and get propped up artificially (specially in an election year) but next year will be ugly, I am in 40% stocks and 50% cash with 10% fixed income. I am looking to sell any rally and get down to 25-30%...
    When the dollar bottoms the market usually sells off bigtime.
     
  2. mskl

    mskl

    LOL

    maybe by the end of the week.
     
  3. S2007S

    S2007S

    Next year??


    Try as early as October or November....


    There is no trust left in this market.


    There isnt any reason for it to move higher....


    The long the bailout plan takes the lower the market goes, and if the market doesnt like the bailout plan 10k is coming EXTREMELY quick.
     
  4. I agree with you on both points... that both candidates are bozos and that the DOW will sink under 10,000 soon. I would have voted for 7,000, but it wasn't an option.
     
  5. well I never like to set a target on a move 'cause that is arrogant, I am looking to pick up some cheap stocks next year )later part....
     
  6. dsq

    dsq

    i think a big drop to 10200 is imminent...today was just ugly...dont know if dow will go sub 10k but why would anyone invest in us stocks right now?For financials,retailers,staples?
     
  7. dve250

    dve250

    Something to consider with the Dow, the companies that make up the index today is different than the companies when it first reached it in March 1999.

    1999 Components:

    Alcoa Incorporated
    AlliedSignal Incorporated
    American Express Company
    AT&T Corporation
    Boeing Company
    Caterpillar Incorporated
    Chevron
    Citigroup Incorporated
    Coca-Cola Company
    Du Pont
    Eastman Kodak Company
    Exxon Corporation
    General Electric Company
    General Motors Corporation
    Goodyear
    Hewlett-Packard Company
    International Business Machines
    International Paper Company
    J.P. Morgan & Company
    Johnson & Johnson
    McDonald’s Corporation
    Merck & Company, Inc.
    Minnesota Mining & Mfg
    Philip Morris Companies Inc.
    Procter & Gamble Company
    Sears Roebuck & Company
    Union Carbide
    United Technologies Corporation
    Wal-Mart Stores Incorporated
    Walt Disney Company

    2008 Components:

    3M Company
    Alcoa Incorporated
    American Express Company
    AT&T Incorporated
    Bank of America Corporation
    Boeing Corporation
    Caterpillar Incorporated
    Chevron Corporation
    Citigroup Incorporated
    Coca-Cola Company
    DuPont
    Exxon Mobil Corporation
    General Electric Company
    General Motors Corporation
    Hewlett-Packard Company
    Home Depot Incorporated
    Intel Corporation
    International Business Machines
    Johnson & Johnson
    J.P. Morgan Chase & Company
    Kraft Foods Inc.
    McDonald’s Corporation
    Merck & Company, Incorporated
    Microsoft Corporation
    Pfizer Incorporated
    Procter & Gamble Company
    United Technologies
    Verizon Company
    Wal-Mart Stores Incorporated
    Walt Disney Company

    If we compare apples to apples then we need to calculate the average with the same companies as in 1999. I don't know the formula to do that but it would be interesting to see a chart of the same companies over this time frame.