DOW Crashing ?!

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Bono, May 30, 2002.

  1. i always love that chart comparison. not that the nasdaq has to copy the nikkei, but just the fact that it's a possibility should be a wake-up call to everyone. ever since the nasdaq started crashing, there have been people on cnbc saying that the bottom is here. it could happen 10 years from now after all these people give up on it.
     
    #171     Jun 24, 2002
  2. Bono

    Bono

    I'll just re-post this one here, so that u guys don't miss out. This is from another forum :

    "Take this :

    1) The dollar hits a 27-month low against the EURO
    2) Goldman Sachs cuts estimates on SEBL and IBM
    3) Merrill Lynch sees Tobacco stocks much lower

    Bush better delivers his Middle East speech ASAP, 'coz otherwise, this is another horrendous day indeed."

    And the futures are currently trading as follows :

    DOW -47
    NASDAQ -15.00
    S&P -4.00
     
    #172     Jun 24, 2002
  3. a big drop in the ratings for CNBC might signal a bottom.
     
    #173     Jun 24, 2002
  4. Bono

    Bono

    I hear CNBC are projecting a TOP already :)
     
    #174     Jun 24, 2002
  5. posted by me on 6/17


    "Personally I favor
    the idea that the bottom is in already. But I'd be the first to
    admit my inability to predict the future."

    I was wrong. I'm secure enough to admit it. And Bono, I'd also go so far as to say that I was overly critical, contentious and perhaps a little dense with regard to the trendline business. I'd like to let it drop if you would.
    What I should have said and still believe is that the bottom is NEAR. The reason why? There is apparent support in this area (1470 - 1350) on the comp dating back to 97'-98', we've had a long tailed candle on the daily, and the vix is above 30. I do admit that momentum is obviously strongly downward and it is a bad idea to get in the way of momentum, but all trends come to end.

    BTW, I am strictly an intraday trader so my interest in this is solely for my amusement.

    **************************************************

    "What the world needs is more geniuses with humility; there are so few of us left."
    - Oscar Levant
     
    #175     Jun 24, 2002
  6. Bono

    Bono

    ahhh ... futurecurrents .... finally something readable :)

    all points well taken ... no hard feelings ... good trading !
     
    #176     Jun 24, 2002
  7. I am not a perma-bull by any means, but we are overdue for a rally. All the stocks I would like to short are oversold.
     
    #177     Jun 24, 2002
  8. Bono

    Bono

    yes, a signal finally could be generated if we stay like this or go higher by the close ... and as I said earlier on this thread .. today should be an important date from a Gann's point of view ... but no confirmation until we go up again tomorrow ...
     
    #178     Jun 24, 2002
  9. Bono

    Bono

    One last thing ... today has a short-term significance only as far as Gann is concerned .. and should not be confused for a trend reversal of any kind ... and even more important, the market has to go up again tomorrow to confirm it as a short-term bottom .. and after all that - like all other technical analysis tools - it has an average accuracy of 80% ...

    Good Trading :)
     
    #179     Jun 24, 2002
  10. 775 on the S&P. Here we come!

    Runningbear
     
    #180     Jun 25, 2002